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News Archives, April 8-14, 2007



Saturday, April 14th, 2007




Wildfire brings destruction to Bevery Hills
 

• 15-acre blaze wreaks havoc on Beverly Hills
• Winds brought down power lines, which sparked flames
• 2 killed in sandstorm-induced interstate pileup

      LOS ANGELES, California (AP) -- "Fires erupted in the hills above Los Angeles on Thursday, damaging or destroying several homes as dangerous north winds fueled the flames. Farther inland, a blinding sandstorm triggered a deadly highway pileup.

      Wind speeds of more than 50 mph propelled the flames in grass near expensive mountainside homes above the city of Beverly Hills, Los Angeles Fire Department spokesman Ron Myers said.

      About 200 firefighters, some using water-dropping helicopters, contained the blaze to 15 acres, or less than a square mile, in the Beverly Glen neighborhood on the south face of the Santa Monica Mountains..."



     Couldn't have happened to a nicer town.







Race to buy hedge funds quickens


      NEW YORK (Reuters) - "The race to buy hedge funds is picking up speed as traditional managers want a piece of these market darlings to keep clients happy and increase their own bottom line, hedge fund industry specialists said this week at the Reuters Hedge Fund and Private Equity Summit.

      But whether performance can stay high is another question, said managers, who worried that incentive to deliver top returns could be muted by a big Wall Street investment.

      "The reason we are seeing more consolidation in the hedge fund community is tied closely to the interest of institutional money going into hedge funds," said Richard Bookstaber, a well known manager who published "A Demon of Our Own Design: Markets, Hedge Funds, and the Perils of Financial Innovation."

       Bookstaber's FrontPoint Quantitative Fund was bought by Morgan Stanley last year. Before that Merrill Lynch and asset manager BlackRock Inc., which has sizable hedge fund offerings, linked up. JPMorgan Chase & Co. took a stake in Highbridge Capital Management and mutual fund firm Legg Mason bought Permal Group several years ago. Other deals are being considered, speakers said..."



     This is indicative of something rather disconcerting.  What that is, remains to be seen.







Friday, April 13th, 2007




Earthquake causes massive coral die-off
 

     JAKARTA, Indonesia (Reuters) - "A strong earthquake that struck Indonesia’s Sumatra island two years ago caused one of the biggest coral die-offs ever documented, a study by scientists from two conservation groups found.

      The quake itself killed hundreds of people on Nias island off the western coast of Sumatra.

      The scientists, who surveyed 35 sites on the coastline, found that the earthquake had raised the island of Simeulue near Nias by up to 4 feet (1.2 meters), exposing most of the coral reefs ringing the island over about 190 miles (300 kilometers) of sea floor, a news statement said..."



     Lots of seismic activity recently.







Strong earthquake shakes Mexico, no casualties


      ACAPULCO, Mexico (Reuters) - "A strong earthquake of magnitude 6.0 shook Mexico early on Friday, sending thousands of tourists in Acapulco fleeing into the streets in panic and knocking out electricity as far away as the capital.

      There were no immediate reports of injuries from the quake, centered in the Pacific coastal state of Guerrero.

      "Oh man, we felt it. We jumped out of bed and went into the garden. I was fast asleep. It really shook. Things fell off shelves," said Acapulco resident Anna Archdale de Palazuelos..."




     Well it's a disaster wth no casualties; good news for once.






Thursday, April 12th, 2007




Sunspots reaching 1,000-year high
 

     The Center of our Solar System (BBC) - "A new analysis shows that the Sun is more active now than it has been at anytime in the previous 1,000 years.

      Scientists based at the Institute for Astronomy in Zurich used ice cores from Greenland to construct a picture of our star's activity in the past.

      They say that over the last century the number of sunspots rose at the same time that the Earth's climate became steadily warmer.

This trend is being amplified by gases from fossil fuel burning, they argue.

'Little Ice Age'

      Sunspots have been monitored on the Sun since 1610, shortly after the invention of the telescope. They provide the longest-running direct measurement of our star's activity.

      The variation in sunspot numbers has revealed the Sun's 11-year cycle of activity as well as other, longer-term changes.

       In particular, it has been noted that between about 1645 and 1715, few sunspots were seen on the Sun's surface..."



     Hold it.   You mean when the sun gets hotter.... the Earth gets hotter too?  No way!  That's ridiculous!  Preposterous!  .... please note my sarcasm.







Home prices set for first drop in 40 years


     NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- "The National Association of Realtors said Wednesday it expects its measure of home prices to fall this year for the first time since the group began keeping track nearly 40 years ago.

      In its latest monthly forecast, the real estate group said it expects a 0.7 percent decline in the median price of an existing home sold in 2007. A month ago it had been projecting a 1.2 percent increase. Half of all homes sell for more than the median and half for less.

      The subprime mortgage mess led the group to cut its sales forecast as well, by 100,000 to 6.34 million homes, a pace that would be about 2 percent below the 6.48 million existing homes sold in 2006. The group cited problems some buyers may have getting financing..."



     I don't think I like this ride anymore.  I want off.






Wednesday, April 11th, 2007




Crop prices soar, pushing up cost of food globally
 

     New York (The Wall Street Journal) - "Soaring prices for farm goods, driven in part by demand for crop-based fuels, are pushing up the price of food world-wide and unleashing a new source of inflationary pressure.

      The rise in food prices is already causing distress among consumers in some parts of the world - especially relatively poor nations like India and China. If the trend gathers momentum, it could contribute to slower global growth by forcing consumers to spend less on other items or spurring central banks to fight inflation by raising interest rates.

      Politicians in markets where food costs are a particularly sensitive matter are moving to counter rising prices before they take a bigger economic toll or fuel unrest. But it remains unclear whether those policies will be enough to contain the current pressures, or whether a longer-term bout of food-price inflation - similar in ways to the recent climb in prices for oil and other commodities - is in the offing..."


     The implications of this are hard to foresee.







Iran vows to expand nuclear plans


• Iran planning to expand nuclear program, atomic energy head says
• Infrastructure at Natanz nuclear facility for 50,000 centrifuges, Aghazadeh says
• Iran has reached "industrial level" nuclear production, Ahmadinejad says
• IAEA says it cannot confirm Iran's nuclear activities for peaceful purposes

      TEHRAN, Iran (CNN) -- "A day after Iran announced it had begun production of nuclear fuel on an "industrial level," the head of the country's atomic energy organization said Iran had plans to greatly expand its nuclear program.

      "Iran's uranium enrichment program in Natanz does not only aim to install 3,000 centrifuges, but 50,000 centrifuges," Iran's Atomic Energy Organization chief, Gholam Reza Aghazadeh said, according to the state-run IRNA news agency. Centrifuges are used in the process of enriching uranium.

      The Natanz nuclear facility is located in central Iran, about 200 miles (320 kilometers) south of Tehran.

      Iranian plans to expand its enrichment process to 50,000 centrifuges goes well beyond any previously announced aspirations by Tehran.

      "I did not want to create any uncertainty about the nuclear program," Aghazadeh said. "But it is a fact that all of our infrastructure (in Natanz) ... is planned for 50,000 centrifuges."

      According to Aghazadeh, Iran's Atomic Energy Organization "intends to develop, optimize and update nuclear technology in the future," including an international tender for construction of two 1,000-megawatt power plants, which he said will be announced in the coming days..."


     Oh they're pushing for more than just Nuclear Power.  I guarantee it.






Tuesday, April 10th, 2007




Snowy forests 'increase warming'
 

     Canada (BBC) - "Planting trees in snowy areas may worsen global warming as their canopies absorb sunlight which would otherwise be reflected by the snow, a study says.

      The report in US journal Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences says the pine forests of Europe, Siberia and Canada may contribute to warming.

      Only tropical forests effectively cool the earth by absorbing carbon dioxide and creating clouds, the report says.

      But the report's authors stress they are not advocating chopping down trees.

They say forests are a valuable resource and remain vital for bio-diversity, providing a home for animals and plants..."


     I wish they would make up their mind.  So now cold stuff makes it hotter, and hot stuff makes it colder?  I think they want us to be confused.  Confused people are generally more submissive to change.






- Lenders aim to forestall wave of foreclosures


    San Francisco
(Reuters) - "The sharp increase in subprime borrowers falling dangerously behind on mortgage payments may not trigger a tsunami of a million or more foreclosures that some analysts forecast.

      A coalition of civil rights groups underscored such fears last week by calling on lenders to stop foreclosing for six months on subprime mortgages, which involve loans to risky borrowers with blemished credit.

      Optimistic analysts say that will not be necessary because lenders on a strong footing are moving aggressively behind the scenes to limit losses from faltering subprime mortgages..."



     Trying to forestall the inevitable is actually quite funny.





Dollar under pressure ahead of G7 meeting


     TOKYO (Reuters) - "The dollar came under broad pressure and slipped from a six-week high against the yen on Tuesday, as investors took profits ahead of a meeting of Group of Seven finance officials later in the week.

      Traders said this week's big theme will be any yen-friendly comments leading up to Friday's G7 meeting.

      G7 officials in the past have said yen weakness runs counter to Japan's economic recovery and warned investors they could be burned making one-way currency bets..."



     Again with the U.S. $ woes.







Monday, April 9th, 2007




Warming May Spur Extinctions, Shortages, Conflicts
 

     Brussels, Belgium (National Geographic) - "Global warming threatens to extinguish hundreds of millions of human lives and nearly a third of the planet's wildlife, an international panel of climate scientists said in a report issued today.

      The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) warned that the world's poorer nations face spiraling rates of death and disease due to increased risk of droughts, floods, storms and other severe climate effects spurred by human-caused greenhouse gas emissions.

      Up to 30 percent of animal and plant species could be wiped out by a global temperature rise of 2.7 to 4.5 degrees Fahrenheit (1.5 to 2.5 degrees Celsius), experts said.

      The IPCC forecasts a rise of between 3.2 and 7.1 degrees Fahrenheit (1.8 and 4 degrees Celsius) by the end of this century..."


     It shouldn't take a genius to realize that ANY drastic change in the Earth's Climate patterns will most likely be bad news.






- Record-Shattering Cold Threatens Crops



Cold_crops


     State College, PA (Accuweather) - "A brutally cold surge of arctic air into the eastern half of the United States will easily bring record-low temperatures on Easter morning and could cause significant losses in some of the nation's most prolific agricultural areas.

      High pressure building toward the Southeast will bring calm winds and clear skies, which combined with the very cold air mass in place, will allow temperatures in many cities to challenge the coldest lows ever reached during the month of April. The cold will severely tax peach orchards across Georgia, and strawberry orchards throughout the Southeast. Bitter cold will also be felt throughout the wheat-growing areas of the Midwest and central Plains.

      A look at the Watches and Warnings shows freeze watches and warnings extending from the Ohio Valley all the way into northern Florida. The cold snap is especially dangerous to agriculture this year, and the South Regional News expands on some places where record-breaking cold will be felt during sunrise services on Easter morning..."


     This is some no-joke serious stuff.  If we loose even 40% of our crop this season after the last year's loss due to drought, food prices will skyrocket and availability will go down sharply.





Gas prices jump 18 cents


     McKee, Texas (CNN) - "Gas prices jumped more than 18 cents over the past two weeks to a national average of $2.79 a gallon of self-serve regular, a national survey said Sunday.

      That marks a rise of 60 cents since late January, said Trilby Lundberg, publisher of the "Lundberg Survey," which tallies prices every two to three weeks at about 5,000 gas stations.

      The current price is about 12 cents higher than it was a year ago, but still 24 cents lower than the record high set last August, she said. The latest surveys were carried out April 6 and March 23..."


     One of the worst scenarios I can think of is a rapid decline in Oil availability.  Prices on everything will skyrocket, because it takes oil to fuel our supply trucks.  This will also mean it would be more likely to see a lot more emply shelves at the supermarket.

     ...plan accordingly.








Sunday, April 8th, 2007




Cold snap puts much of U.S. in deep freeze
 

     ATLANTA (AP) - "It may be two weeks into spring, but it’s beginning to look a lot like Christmas.

      Cold temperatures in much of the country have those celebrating Easter this weekend swapping out frills, bonnets and sandals for coats, scarves and socks. Baseball fans are huddled in blankets, and instead of spring planting, backyard gardeners are bundling their crops.

      The National Weather Service was predicting record lows Sunday for parts of the Southeast and Midwest, and an unseasonably cold weekend for much of the Northeast. Snow was forecast in parts of Ohio, Michigan and New England..."


     Wow, so much for Global Warming being a sure thing ALL the time.






Climate report:  World's poorest will suffer most


• Report: Poor countries will see increased hunger and water shortages
• Scientists: Climate change will affect billions of people
• North America will see more hurricanes, floods, droughts, heat waves, wildfires
• Africa will be hardest hit, Europe will see its Alpine glaciers disappear


     BRUSSELS, Belgium (AP) -- The world faces increased hunger and water shortages in the poorest countries, massive floods and avalanches in Asia, and species extinction unless nations adapt to climate change and halt its progress, according to a report approved Friday by an international conference on global warming.

      Agreement came after an all-night session during which key sections were deleted from the draft and scientists angrily confronted government negotiators who they feared were watering down their findings.

      "It has been a complex exercise," said Rajendra Pachauri, chairman of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.

      Several scientists objected to the editing of the final draft by government negotiators but, in the end, agreed to compromises. However, some scientists vowed never to take part in the process again.

      Five days of negotiations reached a climax when the delegates removed parts of a key chart highlighting devastating effects of climate change that kick in with every rise of 1.8 degrees, and in a tussle over the level of scientific reliability attached to key statements..."



     It's ALWAYS the poor who suffer the most.  The Have's and the Have-Nots; one thing that really sucks about the world but hasn't changed since "Civilization" began to control people.










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