News
Archives, January 14-19, 2008
Saturday,
January 19th, 2008
- The
Panic Starts
Author: Jim Sinclair (jsmineset.com) - "Dear
CIGAs,
There is no doubt
the Fed
and the PPT
are meeting right now. A drop of over 300 points on the Dow after
the
Chairman of the Federal Reserve speaks publicly presages a 1000 point
break in the Dow Jones Industrial Average coming quite
quickly, if not
tomorrow.
Unless the equity
markets
can be calmed, a panic is about to happen, making the statement "This
is it" a horrible reality.
If the equity markets cannot be calmed then:
- Recognize this is the Formula
happening like
everything else much sooner and much bigger in its implications than
anticipated.
- Gold will rise to $1650 as
an almost immediate effect of what will be done to attempt to fend off
a total panic starting to take place in general equities, therein
threatening to be followed by all credit markets of all kinds.
- The funds and hotshot short term
traders in gold
shares will be killed by the upward explosion of the gold price about
to occur.
- The PPT and the Fed will
step out of gold’s way because gold is one of the tools used in 1930 by
Roosevelt and in 2000 by Bush. It will be used again now on the upside.
- Gold is the only insurance
there is against what all this means because a panic in equities will
blow the financial system, already coming apart, to smithereens.
- All country funds would shut down
on any further
investments in "at the wall" financial institutions.
- The rollover in credit and default
derivatives would
exceed the entire foreign debt of the USA.
- The rest of the $450 trillion
dollar mountain of derivatives would start a disintegration like
nothing you have every seen in your lifetime.
- Consumer demand would slam shut.
- The auto industry might as well go
into liquidation
this coming Monday, avoiding the June 2008 rush.
- The US dollar would burn a hole in
the floor going
directly to .5200 or lower.
- As the dollar disintegrates gold
would rocket to and
through $1650 in days.
- The markets for general equities
would all have to institute total trading halts every 100 points on the
downside for 30 minutes each.
- All commercial call loans would be
called.
- All debtors one day late on any
payment, lacking grace period, would be liquidated. All debtors over
one day of the grace period would be liquidated.
- It is clearly visible to anyone
with eyes or a mind to think that the PPT has lost all semblance of
control in the equity markets and will soon in all remaining markets.
- The commercial paper credit market
which is almost
dead will die totally.
- Should no emergency action take
place soon, you will
see an old fashioned panic of the 1929 variety.
- Just as emotional fools sell gold
and gold shares, be assured that more emotional general equity fools
will unload and bring the averages down more than ever in history in
one day.
- Recognize this is the Formula
happening like
everything else much sooner and much bigger in its implications than
anticipated.
- Emergency action will be all
splash and theatrics but truthfully the cat is out of the bag. It buys
some time but corrects nothing. It makes the Formula 100% correct.
- There now must be EMERGENCY ACTION
because the Chairman of the Fed has BOMBED OUT PUBLICLY and a PANIC is
about to occur. Expect EMERGENCY ACTION in days, not weeks.
If you have not protected yourself, you may only have days to do so now..."
More:
Threat of
Sovereign Wealth Funds
Disastrous
Dow tumbles again
The
Bottom Line: And so it begins.
Wednesday,
January 16th, 2008
- Dollar
tumbles on Fed rate cut speculation
TOKYO (Reuters) - "The dollar hit a
2-½ year low against the yen and
a record low versus the Swiss franc on Wednesday, hurt by fears of a
U.S. recession and speculation about an early Federal Reserve interest
rate cut.
U.S. data on Tuesday
showing that retail sales last year were at
their lowest since 2002 further fuelled market rumors that the U.S.
central bank was holding an emergency meeting to cut rates immediately.
But a Fed spokeswoman
declined to comment on the rumors.
Views on the U.S. economy
were also dented after Citigroup Inc, the largest U.S. bank by assets,
reported its first quarterly loss since its establishment in 1998.
"It's hard for anyone to
buy the dollar at the moment as people are
very pessimistic about the U.S. economy, haunted by the possibility of
a recession there," said a trader at a Japanese trust bank.
The U.S. unit struck a
fresh 2-½ year trough and was trading around
106.23 yen on electronic trading platform EBS, down 0.4 percent on the
day and the lowest since May 2005.
The euro was up 0.3
percent to $1.4845, but off a seven-week peak of
$1.4923 hit the previous day and a record high of $1.4969 struck in
November.
The
dollar hit a record low against the Swiss franc below 1.0855 on EBS..."
More:
Gold
and the Bflationary Depression
Whole
Prices Soared Last Year
Shadow
spreads across the US economy
States
to Tighten Belts as Weakness Of Economy Cuts Into Tax Receipts
Key
Word: Sell
Soft
retail sales may signal recession
Stocks
thrashed, dollar flops on recession fear
Weak
retail sales and Citigroup plague Wall St.
Citigroup's
$9.8bn sub-prime loss
A
Citi-Sized Blow: Dow Plunges 277 to 9-Month Low
The
Bottom Line: We are definately in a recession-climate
situation right now... the real question is, "how bad is it going to
get?"
-
Plague
a growing but overlooked threat: study
LONDON (Reuters) - "Plague, the
disease that devastated
medieval Europe, is re-emerging worldwide and poses a growing
but overlooked threat, researchers warned on Tuesday.
While it has only killed some 100 to 200
people annually
over the past 20 years, plague has appeared in new countries in
recent decades and is now shifting into Africa, Michael Begon,
an ecologist at the University of Liverpool and colleagues
said.
A bacterium known as
Yersinia pestis causes bubonic plague,
known in medieval times as the Black Death when it was spread
by infected fleas, and the more dangerous pneumonic plague,
spread from one person to another through coughing or sneezing.
"Although the number of
human cases of plague is relatively
low, it would be a mistake to overlook its threat to humanity,
because of the disease's inherent communicability, rapid
spread, rapid clinical course, and high mortality if left
untreated," they wrote in the journal Public Library of Science
journal PloS Medicine.
Rodents carry plague,
which is virtually impossible to wipe
out and moves through the animal world as a constant threat to
humans, Begon said. Both forms can kill within days if not
treated with antibiotics.
"You can't realistically
get rid of all the rodents in the
world," he said in a telephone interview. "Plague appears to be
on the increase, and for the first time there have been major
outbreaks in Africa."
Globally the World Health
Organization reports about 1,000
to 3,000 plague cases each year, with most in the last five
years occurring in Madagascar, Tanzania, Mozambique, Malawi,
Uganda and the Democratic Republic of Congo. The United States
sees about 10 to 20 cases each year..."
The
Bottom Line: Definitely something to keep a close watch on.
- Russia
to have 50 silo-based Topol-M ICBM systems by end of 2008
MOSCOW (RIA Novosti) - "Russia
will fully equip a fifth
strategic missile regiment with new silo-based intercontinental
ballistic missiles in 2008, a spokesman for the Strategic Missile
Forces (SMF) said on Thursday.
At present, Russia
operates 48 Topol-M systems (NATO reporting name
SS-27) and will deploy another two with a missile regiment in the
Saratov Region in southern Russia this year, bringing the total number
to 50.
"Rearmament of the
Tatishchevo missile regiment with two silo-based
Topol-M systems will be completed in 2008," Colonel Alexander Vovk
said, adding that each regiment has 10 missile complexes.
The missile, with a range
of about 7,000 miles (11,000 kms), is said to
be immune to any current and future U.S. ABM defense. It is capable of
making evasive maneuvers to avoid a kill by the use of terminal phase
interceptors, and carries targeting countermeasures and decoys.
It is also shielded
against radiation, electromagnetic pulse, nuclear
blasts at distances more than 500 meters (1,650 feet) away, and is
designed to survive a hit from any form of laser technology.
Gen. Nikolai Solovtsov, SMF commander,
earlier said that Topol-M
systems would be equipped with multiple independently targetable
reentry vehicles (MIRV) in the next two or three years... "
The
Bottom Line: The Cold War never ended... it just entered
"Phase 2".
Tuesday,
January 15th, 2008
- Pakistan army
guards scarce grain [supply]
Pakistan (BBC) - "The authorities in
Pakistan have deployed
paramilitary troops to guard wheat supplies around the country amid
fears of a massive shortfall.
The government has blamed
hoarders and smugglers for the problem.
Wheat is a staple food in
Pakistan and shortages have led to large scale rioting in the past.
Flour shortfalls
initially pushed up market prices.
Later flour ran out on the open market when officials fixed prices and
warned against violations.
Now Pakistan's national
disaster management authority has deployed thousands of paramilitary
troops at wheat stores.
The head of the authority
said the aim was to ensure that store owners did not sell more than
allowed by the government.
Price curbs
The move comes after
nearly a month of wheat shortages.
President Pervez
Musharraf said there was enough grain to feed everyone and the crisis
had been engineered.
He and other leaders have
pointed the finger at "hoarders" and "profiteers".
Officials accuse
suppliers of smuggling wheat intended
for domestic use to Afghanistan and Central Asia, where prices are
higher.
The state-run Utility
Stores Corporation has been selling flour at the official rate of 18
rupees ($0.30) per kg.
However, the BBC's M Ilyas Khan
in
Karachi says those queuing up outside are often told that the store has
run out of stock..."
More:
Wheat
Warning - New Rust Could Spread Like Wildfire
Soaring
Grain Prices Prompt Wheat Thefts
China
is quietly revaluing the yuan
This
is not merely a subprime crisis
'Meltdown'
Goes Mainstream
Movin'
Up the Ranks
Citi
likely to announce dividend cut, layoffs: report
Retailers
brace for consumer slowdown in 2008
Sprint
to lay off several thousand workers: report
Gold
and platinum near historic highs
Dollar
near 7-week low vs yen, bank earnings eyed
BofA's
awesome Countrywide tax break
Countrywide
rescue: $4 billion
The
Bottom Line: Are the winds of the "perfect socio-economic
storm" whipping up once more?
-
Norovirus
reaches epidemic levels
United
Kingdom
(timesonline.co.uk) - "The winter vomiting bug norovirus has
struck 2.8million people, with health
professionals braced for another rise as people return to schools and
offices.
The virus - which causes
projectile vomiting, diarrhoea, mild fevers and
headaches - is striking down more than 200,000 a week, according to
official
estimates.
Three hospitals have been
placed on red alert, while hundreds of wards up and
down the country have been closed to new patients as the number of beds
being taken up by bug victims reaches critical levels.
Schools have even begun
sending warning letters to parents explaining the
symptoms while employers are calling on staff to stay away from work 48
hours after they have recovered to stem the spread of the virus.
The rate of new cases
being confirmed has reached the levels of reports during
the massive outbreak five years ago, when officials announced an
epidemic.
Norovirus can prove
deadly for vulnerable people, such as children and the
elderly. The impact of the bug has been exacerbated by a new outbreak
of flu
with those most at risk now being given antiviral drugs by their
doctors.
NHS Direct, which
patients can telephone for health advice, has been inundated
with people calling with symptoms of the norovirus.
Helen Young, the clinical
director, said: “We are seeing an increasing number
of calls about diarrhoea and vomiting. Norovirus is a major issue for
the
whole NHS right now and we urge anyone who has symptoms to engage in
good
hygiene to prevent it spreading further and to drink plenty of
fluids.”.."
The
Bottom Line: Never let your guard down; if it's not one
pathogen, it's another to be wary of.
- 20
inches of snow hits parts of New England
PORTLAND, Maine
(AP) -- "A snowstorm raced across northern New
England Monday after burying parts of Massachusetts, dumping as much as
20 inches of snow in some places and forcing classes to be canceled at
hundreds of schools.
After the snowiest
December on record in some parts of the region,
and then a spell of spring-like warmth, meteorologists said between a
foot and 20 inches fell in southern Maine. Roughly a foot fell in
southern New Hampshire and areas west and north of Boston.
A
woman was killed and her child injured in a wreck on a snow-covered
highway in Maine, authorities said. A man was killed when his vehicle
crashed on a Vermont highway, but police did not say if it was
weather-related.
In New Hampshire, the southern and
central
parts of the state took the brunt of a storm as snowfall outpaced the
state's fleet of plow trucks.
Maine got pounded with some of the
heaviest snowfall of the season:
20 inches in Gardiner, 16 inches in Denmark and 14 inches in Auburn,
said Tom Berman of the National Weather Service in Gray.
New Hampshire had similar
amounts, ranging from 10 inches in Rochester to 13 inches in Wolfeboro.
Pine Plains, New York,
near the Connecticut state line, reported 7
inches, and Burlington, Connecticut, had 6.5 inches. The Boston,
Massachusetts, area had about 5... "
The
Bottom Line: Move along people, nothing to see here!
Global warming is to blame for everything. Pay no attention to
the white stuff in the background.
Monday,
January 14th, 2008
- Recession
fears are growing
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - "Expectations
for the weakest consumer
spending performance in 17 years during 2008 kept the odds of a
recession at nearly 40 percent, a survey of top forecasters showed on
Thursday.
Panelists surveyed by the
Blue Chip Economic Indicators newsletter
have the odds of a recession in the next year at 38 percent, a little
weaker than the 39 percent odds forecast a month ago.
But the most recent
survey was taken ahead of December's grim
unemployment report and the newsletter stated that growth forecasts
would have been weaker if taken after release of that data.
"The January 4th news of
the first decline in private sector nonfarm
payrolls since July 2003 and whopping 0.3 of a percentage point jump in
the unemployment rate during December no doubt caused some of our
panelists to further trim their forecasts of economic growth this year
and heightened speculation about the possibility of a recession," the
newsletter stated.
"Whether or not the
economy is already in a recession, about to
enter one, or manages to muddle through without one, will only be known
in the fullness of time," the newsletter wrote.
Based on the Jan 2-3
survey of economists -- taken a day ahead of
the government's weak employment report that showed a huge uptick in
the December unemployment rate and the weakest job growth in more than
four years -- consumer spending this year is expected to grow at the
weakest annual pace since 1991..."
More:
As
housing slumps, realtors quit
Moody's:
U.S. rating could be pressured in long term
Trends
guru says you'll be living in a storage bin next year
'Panic
Buying' in the Grain Markets
Dollar
Falls Versus Euro in Third Week on Fed Outlook
Some
Debt Trends Are Good. This Isn't One of Them
It's
Only the Beginning
Retail
in a state of "anarchy" as consumers retreat
Retailers
seen closing stores, paring growth
GM's
Wagoner says economic woes concern
Bank
results may drag stocks even lower
Gold
hits record high near $900 on safe haven bids
U.S.
recession worries hit crude prices
Here
comes the earnings recession: James Saft
Economists
Raise Odds for Possible U.S. Recession This Year
Odds are growing for
economic recession
The
Bottom Line: We are starting to see the dire effects of
many of the triggers/causes we have identified in the recent past.
-
Israel's
Netanyahu Claims President Bush Promised Unilateral Nuclear Bomb Attack
Against Iran
Tel Aviv
(veteransforcommonsense.org) - "Wire Services - US President
George W.
Bush promised Israel's opposition leader Binyamin Netanyahu that the
United States will join the Jewish state in a nuclear strike against
Iran, Israel Radio reported today.
Former Prime Minister
Netanyahu, opposition Likud party's hardline chairman who opposes the
US-backed Annapolis peace process, reiterated to President Bush his
stance, that a pre-emptive nuclear strike against Iran's nuclear
installations was the only way to stop the Islamic nation's nuclear
weapons ambitions.
"I told him my position
and Bush agreed," Netanyahu told Israel Radio.
During
their 45-minute meeting at King David hotel in Jerusalem Netanyahu also
told Bush that "Jerusalem belongs to the Jewish people and will remain
under Israeli sovereignty for eternity."
President Bush issued a
stark warning to Iran over Strait of Hormuz incident, saying that "all
options are on the table to protect our assets."
“There will be
serious consequences if they attack our ships, pure and simple,” Bush
said during the joint news conference with Israeli Prime Minister Ehud
Olmert in Jerusalem. “And my advice to them is, don't do it.”
Bush
criticized those who interpret the National Intelligence Estimate,
which found that Iran gave up its nuclear weapons program in 2003, as a
sign that Iran was no longer a threat.
"Let me remind you what
the NIE actually said," Bush stold reporters. "It said that as far as
the intelligence community could tell, at one time the Iranians had a
military -- covert military program that was suspended in 2003 because
of international pressure. My attitude is that a non-transparent
country, a country which has yet to disclose what it was up to, can
easily restart a program.".."
The
Bottom Line: Aye Carumba.
- Prepare
for big flu pandemic economic hit, UN says
LONDON (Reuters) - "Governments
around the world need to do more to
prepare for the dramatic economic impact of the next flu pandemic, the
United Nations influenza coordinator said on Thursday.
David Nabarro said his
team had recently collected information from
nearly 150 countries to see how prepared they were for a pandemic and
the picture was mixed.
"Most countries have now
focused on pandemic as a potential cause
of catastrophe and have done some planning. But the quality of the
plans is patchy and too few of them pay attention to economic and
social consequences," he told BBC radio.
"The economic
consequences could be up to $2 trillion -- up to 5
percent of global GDP removed," he said, reiterating previous World
Bank and UN estimates.
Nabarro will deliver a
lecture at the London School of Economics
later on Thursday on the global state of preparedness for any pandemic,
which could be triggered by bird flu.
The current H5N1 form of
bird flu is mainly an animal disease, but
experts fear it might mutate into a strain that could spread easily
between people, causing a pandemic which could kill millions... "
The
Bottom Line: Everything is connected. Commerce,
Health, Warfare, Social Structure - all connected.
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