News
Archives, July 15-21, 2007
Saturday, July 21st, 2007
- Dollar declines with stocks as
subprime woes linger
NEW YORK (Reuters) - "The dollar fell
to a record low against the
euro on Friday and was on track for its sixth straight weekly decline,
weighed down by fears that losses in risky mortgage debt would hurt
consumers and slow U.S. growth.
The greenback also
tumbled against the yen as investors unwound bets
on risky assets such as stocks and emerging market debt, prompting a
slide in U.S. share prices and a broad bid for U.S. Treasury debt that
sent yields near six-week lows.
Defaults on subprime
mortgages, made to borrowers with weak credit,
and mounting losses on bonds backed by such debt have rattled financial
markets and soured general dollar sentiment.
St. Louis Federal Reserve
Bank President William Poole emboldened
dollar bears on Friday when he said losses in the non-prime mortgage
market, which includes subprime, were large enough to affect home
building and consumer spending.
"It's just a story of
general dollar weakness, and though nothing
has really changed on housing, that's being used as a catalyst to
sell," said Dixon Fung, currency strategist at MG Financial in New York.
Late afternoon, the
dollar was trading at $1.3824, down 0.2 percent
from late on Thursday and near a record peak of $1.3844 hit earlier in
the session.
Sterling hit a 26-year
high at $2.0587 before easing to $2.0546. The
dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of major
currencies hit a 12-year low.
The dollar also fell to a
six-week low at 120.87 yen before edging back to 121.18 yen, down 0.7
percent on the day.
That
sparked speculation that carry trades, which involve borrowing
yen at low interest rates to buy higher-yielding currencies and assets,
may be veering into shaky territory..."
More:
Earnings
misses, subprime woes punish Wall Street
Dow
sinks as earnings, housing sting
Subprime
stress seen skewing home loan data
U.S.
Home Builder woes reach into other industries
Bridge
loans becoming a bridge too far?
Cornered
banks drop bread-and-butter subprime loans
Bear
Stearns to be sued over subprime funds: CNBC
MF
Global pricing hit by subprime worries: Man CEO
Cracks
in subprime reaching higher-grade bonds
The
infection of Greed has some really nasty, extended side-effects when
used for too long.
- Oil steadies near record on supply
concerns
NEW YORK (Reuters) - "Oil prices
steadied on Friday, within striking
distance of a record high amid falling U.S. inventories in the midst of
driving season and problems with African crude production.
Benchmark London Brent
(LCOc1: Quote, Profile, Research) settled 3 cents lower at $77.64 a
barrel, near the peak $78.65 hit last August. U.S. crude (CLc1: Quote,
Profile, Research) settled down 35 cents at $75.57 a barrel.
Support has come from
rising demand in the United States and a spate
of refinery outages that have drained inventories in the world's top
consumer.
"Oil demand seems to be
robust. There is a feeling that the market
will become tighter and there is concern about prompt supplies," said
Tony Nunan, risk management executive at Tokyo-based Mitsubishi.
Gasoline stocks, which
were expected by analysts to rise, instead
fell by 2.3 million barrels in the week to July 13, a government report
said on Wednesday.
Prices also were on the
rise after Total cut output by half at its
220,000-barrel-per-day Dalia field in Angola. Total said on Friday it
had lifted a force majeure on exports and supply should return quickly
to normal.
The outage added to
supply losses from Africa. In Nigeria, almost
550,000 bpd, or 18 percent of the country's oil capacity, remain shut
because of attacks on the country's oil industry.
Economic growth in China,
the world's second-largest consumer,
accelerated to 11.9 percent in the second quarter, an 11-1/2-year high,
and crude imports in June rose 20 percent from a year ago.
Other Asian economies
also are proving resilient to surging energy
prices. Crude imports by South Korea, the world's fourth-largest buyer,
rose 3.8 percent from a year ago in June.
Despite supply concerns,
the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting
Countries has yet to relax supply curbs in place since last November
and analysts do not expect the group to do so any time soon..."
In the face of all of this, it is rather
easy to lose sight of hope.
- 4.2-Magnitude
Earthquake Hits San Francisco Area
SAN FRANCISCO (Fox) — "An
earthquake jolted San Francisco Bay area residents awake early Friday,
breaking glass and rattling nerves, although there were no immediate
reports of injuries.
The earthquake was
recorded about 2 miles east of Oakland and had a preliminary magnitude
of 4.2, according to the U.S. Geological Survey. It could be felt for
up to 10 seconds on both sides of the San Francisco Bay after striking
shortly after 4:40 a.m.
More than 1,000 customers
in the Oakland area lost power, a Pacific Gas & Electric Co.
spokesman said. Crews were investigating the outages.
A dispatcher at the
Oakland Police Department said police were getting calls about alarms
going off. In Berkeley, an employee at a Safeway grocery store said two
large windows broke but there were no injuries..."
The
San Andreas is still there and still active. Let's not forget
about
the New Madrid Either. Sooner or later another "Big One" will hit.
Friday, July 20th, 2007
- Subprime losses could hit $100
Billion: Bernanke
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - "U.S. Federal
Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke said on Thursday that subprime mortgage
losses could hit $100 billion and threaten consumer spending, but he
sought to reassure lawmakers that the central bank was working quickly
to strengthen lending regulations.
"The credit losses
associated with subprime have come to light and they are fairly
significant," Bernanke told the Senate Banking Committee in a second
day of testimony on the Fed's twice-yearly economic report.
"Some estimates are in
the order of between $50 billion and $100 billion of losses associated
with subprime credit problems," he said, referring to a segment of the
mortgage market that caters to borrowers with shaky credit.
That figure may sound
large, but it would represent a tiny fraction of the $56.2 trillion in
U.S. household net worth. Still, many investors have worried that
problems in the subprime sector could spill over into other credit
markets.
In his prepared remarks,
Bernanke acknowledged those concerns but pointed out that while credit
spreads on lower-quality corporate debt had widened somewhat, they
remain near the low end of their historical ranges. He also said
inflation remained the Fed's primary concern.
Bernanke told the Senate
panel that the most reliable indicators show home prices had not
declined nationally and said that so far the housing slump had not led
U.S. consumers to cut back on spending.
He said, however, that if
prices did drop, households might trim spending by as much as 9 cents
for each dollar of wealth lost.
INFLATION WATCH
The Fed
acknowledged in its report that a downturn in housing construction had
been weighing on economic growth..."
More:
Fed warns of
$100bn credit losses
Dollar
near lows vs euro, kiwi and Aussie rise
What's a few
hundred billion here or there...
- Oil takes pause after two-day rise
to near record
SINGAPORE
(Reuters) - "Oil prices eased slightly on Friday after two
days of solid gains, buoyed by concerns that unrelenting economic
growth will strain supplies already thinned by U.S. refinery trip-ups
and African export disruptions.
London Brent crude for
September slipped 17 cents to $77.50 a barrel
by 0246 GMT, one dollar below its all-time record high of $78.65
touched last August.
Brent has rallied more
than $2 in the two days following U.S. government data on Wednesday
showing a fall in fuel stocks.
U.S. light crude for
August delivery which expires later on Friday,
was down 12 cents at $75.80 a barrel, after having settled 87 cents
higher at $75.92 a barrel on Thursday.
"Oil demand seems to be
robust. There is a feeling that the market
will become tighter and there is concern about prompt supplies," said
Tony Nunan, risk management executive at Tokyo-based Mitsubishi.
Economic growth in China,
the world's second-largest consumer,
accelerated to 11.9 percent in the second quarter, a 11-1/2-year high,
and crude imports for June rose 20 percent from a year ago.
Other Asian economies are
also proving resilient to surging energy
prices. Crude imports by South Korea, the world's fourth-largest buyer,
rose 3.8 percent from a year ago in June.
Steadily
rising demand in the United States, coupled with a summer
of unplanned refinery hiccups, has strained inventories in the world's
biggest oil user in the midst of the summer season..."
Can anyone see the ceiling on the oil
prices?
- Alert
level raised as 1,000 new wildfires reported
BOISE, Idaho (AP) --
"The nation's wildfire preparedness was
raised to its highest level Thursday as dozens of new fires started in
the bone-dry West, including a rapidly growing blaze on the grounds of
the Idaho National Laboratory.
The West had been at
Level 4 for only a few weeks when officials decided to raise it to
Level 5, effective Thursday.
"It's driven by a couple
of things: the number of large fires we have,
and also the fires are occurring in several states and in several
geographic areas," said Randy Eardley, a spokesman for the National
Interagency Fire Center. "The resources we have are being stretched
thin."
The change allows fire
managers to request help from
international crews, and National Guard units could be mobilized. On
Thursday, fire center spokesman Ken Frederick said new crews were
arriving in the Pacific Northwest from Alaska and the Southeast.
Firefighters in the area
critically need medium-sized helicopters, he
said. With 23 uncontained large fires or fire complexes in Nevada, Utah
and Idaho, there aren't enough contractor-supplied helicopters to go
around, he said.
About 15,000 firefighters were already
battling nearly 70 fires bigger than 100 acres in 12 states.
Dry lightning has sparked
dozens of new blazes in the West, including more than 1,000 new fires
since Monday, Eardley said.
Thursday morning brought slightly lower
temperatures in the Northwest,
Frederick said, but the break wasn't expected to last long. Dry, windy
weather, temperatures over 100 degrees Fahrenheit and thunderstorms
were forecast for the next seven days, he said..."
Help
us; the West is on fire!
Thursday, July 19th, 2007
- Bernanke warns on housing, energy
NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- The
economy should grow modestly this
year, and even more in 2008, but a pullback in housing and the
possibility of even higher energy prices pose serious risks.
That's
the message Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke presented to the
House Financial Services Committee during day one of his semiannual
address to lawmakers on the state of the economy.
Bernanke's testimony did
not seem to indicate a cut in the Fed's fund
rate was coming, and the stock market declined after his speech. The
Fed's fund rate, an overnight rate the central bank charges commercial
banks, affects everything from corporate borrowing rates to interest on
credit card debt.
On the overall economy,
the Fed chairman said growth should average
about 2.25 to 2.5 percent this year, and increase to 2.5 to 3 percent
in 2008.
But Bernanke warned that
the decline in the housing
market, as well as rising energy prices, are threats to the economy and
therefore the Fed needed to continue focus on inflation over job
creation in its dual mandate to control prices and create jobs.
"The
ongoing housing correction could prove larger than anticipated, and
energy and commodity prices could continue to rise sharply" and that
could "spread to other parts of the economy," said Bernanke. Therefore
the "upside risks to inflation is [the Fed's] primary policy concern."
As
the economy slows and the housing market slumps, some have pressured
the Fed to cut interest rates as a means of spurring growth. But the
Fed has so far refused, leaving rates at 5.25 percent for over a year.
During a Q&A after
his testimony, Bernanke was asked if there was a risk to a "hard fall"
in housing.
"We think it remains a
risk, we have an inventory problem," he said.
He
also said mortgage defaults will "likely get worse before they get
better," although he added that over 1 million homes were still getting
built every year, and the sector is about as healthy as it was in the
late 1990s.
The dollar fell on the
projected weakness in the housing market, and how it could further slow
economic growth.
Legislators
also grilled the Fed chairman over inequality in the U.S. economy,
presenting several studies that showed the rich getting richer and the
poor getting poorer.
"The most pressing issue
facing the U.S.
economy today is excessive and growing inequality," said committee
chairman Barney Frank, D-Mass, although Frank did complement Bernanke
for including a line in his report acknowledging flat wages for the
last few years." This is not uncle Alan's semi-annual report," he said,
referring to previous Fed chairman Alan Greenspan, with whom Frank
often sparred..."
More:
Subprime
woe, Bernanke talk hit stocks
Heavily
Sugar-coated, but still tastes sour.
- West Under Highest Wildfire Alert
BOISE, Idaho (Fox) — "International
wildfire
crews could be called to help fight blazes in the bone-dry West as U.S.
officials on Wednesday boosted the nation's wildfire alert to its
highest level.
"It's driven by a
couple of things: The number of large fires we have, and also the fires
are occurring in several states and in several geographic areas," Randy
Eardley, a spokesman for the National Interagency Fire Center here,
told The Associated Press. "The resources we have are being stretched
thin."
The
wildfire preparedness level was raised to five as dry lightning blasted
and sparked dozens of new blazes in Idaho, Nevada, Oregon and Utah,
where firefighters have been stretched thin by nearly 70 fires bigger
than 100 acres burning in 12 states. National Guard units also could be
mobilized under new level.
Since Monday, there have
been more than 1,000 new fires reported across the West, Eardley said.
He said dry, windy
conditions, thunderstorms and temperatures reaching above 100 degrees
were forecast to continue across most of the Rocky Mountain West
through next week.
A new wildfire that
started
Wednesday evening at the Idaho National Laboratory swept across about 1
1/2 square miles — or 1,000 acres — of sagebrush and grassland at the
federal nuclear research area in southeast Idaho. Its cause was not
immediately known, laboratory spokesman John Epperson said.
Crews
set a backfire to keep the blaze from jumping a nearby highway. The
nearest laboratory facility is the Materials and Fuels Complex, about
five miles northeast of the edge of the fire and on the other side of
the highway.
Ethan Huffman, another
laboratory spokesman, said the wildfire posed no danger to the complex,
which is used for research into nuclear fuel development and is
surrounded by sand buffers.
In Nevada,
crews Wednesday battled more than two dozen fires burning across nearly
200 square miles of rangeland and timber in the northern part of the
state. One threatened hundreds of homes on the edge of Reno.
The
largest wildfire in Oregon, near Burns in the southeast portion of the
state, had grown to more than 200 square miles and was threatening a
handful of homes, officials said.
And in Utah,
two new large fires were reported, in addition to three already burning
on about 640 square miles of grass, sage and timber. It was so dry
there that some Utah communities banned traditional July 24 fireworks
that members of the Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints
normally shoot off to celebrate the 1847 arrival of Mormon pioneers in
the Salt Lake valley.
In Southern California,
authorities were trying to stop a 43-square-mile wildfire from
spreading toward about 50 scattered homes in Los Padres National Forest
in the interior of Santa Barbara County. In Northern California,
overnight drizzle helped firefighters battling flames that threatened
more than 300 homes in and around Happy Camp in the Klamath National
Forest near the Oregon border..."
Time for the old rain dance to be
brought back.
- Attacks Kill
33 as Wave of Violence Sweeps Further Across Pakistan
KARACHI,
Pakistan (Fox) — "A bus carrying
about 10 Chinese engineers and workers had just passed, police said,
when the remote-controlled bomb exploded in the center of Hub, a town
just north of the port city of Karachi.
Hub
Mayor Jamil Gickhi said 26 people had been killed. Officials said they
included police guards who had been escorting the convoy and civilians
along the road.
About 30 persons, many in
critical condition, were evacuated to a Karachi hospital, said Dr.
Tariq Kamal. The Chinese escaped unharmed.
An AP
Television News reporter on the scene said the attack took place in the
town's main bazaar area and shattered more than 20 roadside shops.
Several cars rammed into one another in the chaos that followed the
explosion.
The homicide car bomber detonated his
explosives when guards prevented him from entering the parade ground of
the police academy in Hangu, 45 miles southwest of the provincial
capital Peshawar, academy chief Attaullah Wazir said.
The
bomber killed six bystanders and one policeman, and another 24 people
were injured, Wazir said. The attacker also died when the car was torn
apart by the explosion.
Homicide attacks, bombings and
shootings
blamed on Islamic extremists and a bloody army siege of radicals in
Islamabad's Red Mosque have killed more than 240 people in Pakistan so
far this month, stirring doubts about the country's stability.
Much
of the violence has been in North West Frontier Province, especially
the frontier region of North Waziristan, where pro-Taliban militants
last weekend declared the end of a ten-month-old peace deal.
On
Wednesday, militants bombed and strafed an army convoy near Miran Shah,
North Waziristan's main town, killing 17 troops. At least eight
militants died in clashes with security forces in the area.
President
Gen. Prevez Musharraf insists the accord — under which the military
scaled back its operations in the U.S.-led war on terror in return for
pledges from tribal leaders to contain militancy — offers the best
long-term hope of pacifying the region.
However,
U.S. officials have expressed concern that the accord gives Islamic
extremists breathing space that they have used to strengthen their
operations in Pakistan, Afghanistan and beyond.
In
an intelligence report unveiled in Washington on Tuesday, analysts said
the pact had given Al Qaeda new opportunities to set up compounds for
terror training, improve its international communications with
associates and bolster its operations..."
Great;
a nation with some of the most fascist Islamic principles being taught
in the mosques there, and they have nukes. I hope the government
of
that nation holds tight to its power, because man, if they lose it, we
may all lose.
Wednesday, July 18th, 2007
- Dollar index hits 12-year low as
subprime worries bite
TOKYO
(Reuters) - "The dollar slid to a 12-year low against a basket
of major currencies on Wednesday, taking a hit from fears about the
fallout from U.S. subprime mortgages and expectations for higher
interest rates from Europe to New Zealand.
The euro hit a record
peak of $1.3834 on electronic trading platform
EBS and sterling vaulted to a 26-year peak above $2.05 as the dollar
was pressured by news about the ongoing woes of two Bear Stearns hedge
funds that bet heavily on subprime loans.
Worries that troubles in
the subprime mortgage market could cast a
pall over the broader U.S. economy and financial markets also helped
drag the dollar lower against the yen and the Australian and New
Zealand dollars.
"It's almost as if
there's some risk aversion against the dollar,"
said Tomoko Fujii, head of economics and strategy for Bank of America
in Tokyo.
The dollar's
trade-weighted index against six major currencies fell as low as 80.227
(.DXY: Quote, Profile, Research) -- the weakest since April 1995 and
possibly setting the U.S. currency up for further losses, traders said.
The U.S. currency
suffered as Bear Stearns (BSC.N: Quote, Profile, Research)
said in a letter to investors on Tuesday that two of its hedge funds
that bet heavily on risky subprime loans now have "very little value",
giving a boost to Treasuries in Asia trade.
The subprime troubles
have compounded the dollar's eroding appeal as
the Federal Reserve keeps rates on hold but other major central banks
are seen lifting interest rates further.
Sterling rose as high as
$2.0548 on the Reuters dealing system and
last changed hands at $2.0538, up 0.4 percent from late New York trade
on Tuesday.
The euro climbed 0.3 percent to $1.3825
after reaching its strongest since the single currency's launch in
1999..."
More:
Dollar
slides, techs lead Asian shares lower
Dollar
support may hinge on equity inflows
Subprime
weakness erodes higher-rated ABX indexes
Gold
up as euro hits record high
Citigroup,
JPMorgan sell Basis Capital assets: report
Subprime
woes spread to loans; stocks next: James Saft
The American
Economy is no longer the unstoppable juggernaut that it once was.
- Japan nuke plant leak bigger than
thought
KASHIWAZAKI, Japan (MSNBC) - "A top
power company
official defended safety standards at an earthquake-ravaged nuclear
plant Wednesday, even as the company said a radioactive leak was bigger
than first reported and the mayor ordered the plant be shut down until
its safety could be confirmed.
Plant
operator Tokyo Electric Power Co. announced that a leak of radioactive
water into the Sea of Japan was actually 50 percent bigger than
initially announced Monday night. But the levels were still well below
danger levels, it said.
“We
made a mistake in calculating the amount that leaked into the ocean. We
apologize and make correction,” the statement said. Spokesman Jun
Oshima said the amount was still “one-billionth of Japan’s legal limit.”
Hiroshi Aida, mayor of Kashiwazaki, a city
near the epicenter that is home to the plant and 93,500 people, ordered
operations at the plant halted Wednesday for “safety reasons.”
'Worried'
“I
am worried,” he said. “It would be difficult to restart operations at
this time. ... The safety of the plant must be assured before it is
reopened.”
Kashiwazaki-Kariwa
is the world’s largest nuclear plant in power output capacity. Signs of
problems after Monday’s quake came first not from the officials, but in
a plume of smoke that rose up when the quake triggered a small fire at
an electrical transformer.
It
was announced only 12 hours later that the magnitude 6.8 temblor also
caused a leak of about 315 gallons of water containing radioactive
material. Officials said the water leak was well within safety
standards. The water was flushed into the sea.
Later Tuesday, it said 50 cases of
“malfunctioning and trouble” had been found. Four of the plant’s seven
reactors were running at the time of the quake, and they were all shut
down automatically by a safety mechanism.
Tsunehisa
Katsumata, president of plant operator Tokyo Electric Power Co., toured
the site Wednesday morning, declaring it “a mess” and apologizing for
“all the worry and trouble we have caused.”
“It
is hard to make everything go perfectly,” he said. “We will conduct an
investigation from the ground up. But I think fundamentally we have
confirmed that our safety measures worked.”
Across
town, more than 8,000 residents hunkered down for their second night in
shelters. The death toll — nine, with one person missing — was not
expected to rise significantly. Most of the newer parts of town escaped
major damage.
For
residents, thousands of whom work at the plant, the controversy over
its safety compounded already severe problems, which included heavy
rains and the threat of landslides, water and power outages, and spotty
communications.
Aftershock
fears
“Whenever
there is an earthquake, the first thing we worry about is the nuclear
plant. I worry about whether there will be a fire or something,” said
Kiyokazu Tsunajima, a tailor who sat outside on his porch with his
family, afraid an aftershock might collapse his damaged house.
“It’s
frightening, but I guess we are used to it,” said Ikuko Sato, a young
mother who was spending the night in a crowded evacuation center near
her home, which was without water or power.
“It’s
almost the summer swimming season,” she said. “I wonder if it’ll be
safe to go in the water.”
The area
around Kashiwazaki was hit by an earthquake three years ago that killed
67 people, but the plant suffered no damage.
55
nuclear reactors
The
malfunctions and a delay in reporting them fueled concerns about the
safety of Japan’s 55 nuclear reactors, which have suffered a string of
accidents and cover-ups. Nuclear power plants around Japan were ordered
to conduct inspections.
The
plant in Kashiwazaki-Kariwa, 135 miles northwest of Tokyo, eclipsed a
nuclear power station in Ontario as the world’s largest power station
when it added its seventh reactor in 1997.
The
Japanese plant, which generates 8.2 million kilowatts of electricity,
has been plagued with mishaps. In 2001, a radioactive leak was found in
the turbine room of one reactor.
The
plant’s safety record and its proximity to a fault line prompted
residents to file lawsuits claiming the government had failed to
conduct sufficient safety reviews when it approved construction of the
plant in the 1970s. But in 2005, a Tokyo court threw out a lawsuit
filed by 33 residents, saying there was no error in the government
safety reviews.
Environmentalists
have criticized Japan’s reliance on nuclear energy as irresponsible in
a nation with such a vulnerability to powerful quakes.
“This
fire and leakage underscores the threat of nuclear accidents in Japan,
especially in earthquake zones,” said Jan Beranek, a Greenpeace
official in Amsterdam. “In principle, it’s a bad idea to build nuclear
plants in earthquake-prone areas.”
Nearly
13,000 people packed into evacuation centers in the quake zone,
according to the Fire and Disaster Management Agency. By nightfall, the
number dropped to about 8,200.
Nine
killed
Nine
people in their 70s or 80s were killed, and 47 were seriously injured.
About 450 soldiers to sent to clear rubble, search for survivors under
collapsed buildings, and provide food, water and toilets.
About
50,000 homes were without water and 35,000 were without gas, local
official Mitsugu Abe said. About 27,000 households were without power.
Japan has
a history of nuclear accidents, some of them deadly.
In
2004, five workers at the Mihama nuclear plant in western Japan were
killed and six were injured after a corroded pipe ruptured and sprayed
plant workers with boiling water and steam. The accident was the
nation’s worst at a nuclear facility.
The
U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission requires that nuclear plants be
built with the capacity to withstand the strongest earthquake to hit
its site within 100 years. In a “safe shutdown earthquake,” the chain
reaction in the reactor stops, but the cooling system keeps running so
excess heat is carried away from the core.
William
Miller, a professor of nuclear engineering at the University of
Missouri, said the Kashiwazaki-Kariwa plant “did what it was supposed
to. It shut down.”
Although
its operator said there were leaks, Miller called the amounts he had
heard were “so small as to be negligible.”
However,
David Lochbaum, director of the Nuclear Safety Project at the Union of
Concerned Scientists, noted that fire and loss of power, both of which
occurred at Kashiwazaki-Kariwa, are the two most likely causes of
meltdowns at nuclear facilities..."
This should seal my reasoning behind my
stance of ABSOLUTELY NO NUCLEAR POWER PLANTS. They are too much
of a compromise with "Cheap energy" and "Lack of Public Safety".
When will the Solar Panel and Wind Farms pick up the slack?
- Strong
earthquake shakes northern Tanzania
DAR ES SALAAM, Tanzania (MSNBC) - "A
strong earthquake shook northern Tanzania
on Tuesday, one in a series in recent days in the region, officials
said. No casualties were immediately reported.
In the northern
Tanzanian town of Arusha, the building housing the International
Criminal Tribunal for Rwanda was evacuated for some time, said Danford
Mpumilwa, the tribunal’s spokesman.
The
quake was felt more than
60 miles away in the capital of neighboring Kenya, where high rise
buildings shook as did coffee tables and chandeliers in people’s homes.
The
National Earthquake Information Center of the U.S. Geological Survey
gave the quake a preliminary reading of 6.0 on the Richter scale. Don
Blakeman, an earthquake analyst with the center, said in a telephone
interview he was still analyzing the activity.
“This
is the
seventh earthquake that is above 4.4,” since Thursday, Blakeman said.
“This last one is pretty large, I would expect some more in the coming
days, weeks, months but we cannot predict when.”.."
The
Earth's crust is getting pretty active as of late...
Tuesday, July 17th, 2007
- Rising food prices present
challenge to world's central banks
WASHINGTON (International
Herald Tribune) - "Rising
prices for food, from yogurt in
the United States to steak in South Africa, are causing heartburn at
the world's most powerful central banks.
The fastest increase in
food commodity prices in at least a decade
has already led the monetary authorities in Britain, Mexico, Chile and
South Africa to lift borrowing costs. It is also sowing doubts about
the U.S. Federal Reserve's focus on core inflation, which excludes food
and energy, and about the Chinese government's gradual approach to
tightening credit.
As the Federal Reserve
chairman, Ben Bernanke, prepares to deliver
his semiannual report to Congress this week, central bank officials
worldwide are anxious that climbing costs could trigger consumer
concerns about faster inflation. To keep them from being
self-fulfilling, some of the biggest economies might have to push
interest rates higher.
"Central banks are more
conscious than they've ever been of the
danger of allowing inflation expectations to become unmoored," said
Louis Crandall, chief economist at Wrightson ICAP, based in Jersey
City, New Jersey, and a unit of ICAP, the world's largest broker for
banks and other institutions that trade in financial markets.
An unprecedented surge in
global demand is behind the 23 percent
rise in food prices that the International Monetary Fund recorded
during the last 18 months.
"We haven't seen anything
on this scale before," said Martin von
Lampe, an agricultural economist in Paris at the Organization for
Economic Cooperation and Development.
The demand, triggered in
part by the increasing use of agricultural
commodities to make ethanol and other substitutes for crude oil, may
keep prices high for years. The OECD sees U.S. output of corn-based
ethanol and European consumption of oilseeds for biofuels doubling by
2016.
Chinese and Brazilian
production of ethanol will expand even faster,
the OECD said in a report published this month with the UN Food and
Agriculture Organization.
Rising prosperity in
China and other emerging nations is also
spurring demand, particularly for value-added items like meat and dairy
products, the report said.
"We are sitting on
structural changes that will affect agricultural
prices for a long time to come," Paul Polman, chief financial officer
of Nestlé, the world's largest food company, said last month.
"Central banks need to be
very alert and learn from other
experiences, such as happened in the 1970s," José Darío
Uribe, general
manager of the Colombian central bank, said in an interview. In the
1970s, monetary officials were slow to respond to rising prices for oil
and food. As a result, U.S. inflation averaged 7.1 percent in the
decade, compared with 2.75 percent so far this decade.
The risk, though, is that
inflation could accelerate. With prices of
many everyday items starting to rise, the danger is that consumers and
companies will become more pessimistic about the outlook for inflation.
"Nothing affects consumer
inflation expectations more than food,"
said Richard Yamarone, chief economist at Argus Research in New York.
"Not everybody has to drive to work, but everybody wakes up and has
breakfast."
Joe Carson, director of
economic research at AllianceBernstein in
New York, said rising food prices could keep the Federal Reserve on
alert, even though the annual increase in the core measure has fallen
within the range of 1 percent to 2 percent that some bank officials
said they were comfortable with.
Economists, including
some at the Bank of England, have criticized
the bank's focus on core prices, arguing that it ignores the
inflationary impact of rapid global growth on commodities like oil.
Federal Reserve officials
have said their long-term objective is to
keep overall inflation low. They justify their use of core prices as an
intermediate goal because the measure has proven in the past to be a
better indicator of underlying price pressures than the broader,
so-called headline measure.
Higher food prices pose even more of
a danger for China and poorer
nations, where consumers spend a greater share of their income feeding
themselves. Food accounts for a third of China's consumer price index,
more than double the percentage in the United States..."
I fear that
one day in the not-too-distant future, a war will be fought over not
Oil, but Food.
- Dollar under pressure, Asian
shares struggle
SINGAPORE (Reuters) - "The dollar
stayed under pressure and Asian
share markets stalled near recent peaks on Tuesday amid concerns that
problems in the U.S. subprime mortgage market could spread to other
parts of the world's largest economy.
Crude oil nudged higher,
shrugging off gasoline's more than 4
percent slump a day ago, and gold rebounded with dealers expecting a
weaker U.S. currency to spur buying.
Optimism about earnings
at multinational companies pushed the Dow Jones industrial average
(.DJI: Quote, Profile, Research)
to nearly 14,000 but the broader U.S. market fell on Monday, hit by
fresh worries about troubles in the subprime mortgage sector (.N:
Quote,
Profile, Research).
The benchmark ABX index,
used by investors to hedge subprime
mortgage risks, sank to a fresh intraday low on Monday, prompting
investors to buy less risky government debt.
Japanese government bonds
followed Treasuries higher on Tuesday. Tokyo's Nikkei average (.N225:
Quote, Profile, Research) was down 0.3 percent at 18,193.25 by the
mid-session, while the broader TOPIX index (.TOPX: Quote, Profile,
Research) shed 0.5 percent to 1,774.93.
A slightly firmer yen hit
exporters such as Toyota Motor Corp. (7203.T: Quote, Profile, Research)
while shares of insurance companies were sold as investors worried
their earnings would be hurt by an increase in payouts due to an
earthquake in northwestern Japan on Monday.
Tokyo Electric Power Co.
(TEPCO) (9501.T: Quote, Profile, Research)
lost 0.8 percent after it shut down three major generators at the
world's biggest nuclear power plant following the strong earthquake.
Japan's market was closed
for a public holiday on Monday..."
More:
Dollar
sluggish, nagged by subprime concerns
Subprime
worries hurt broad markets
Is this the dollar in its death throes?
- Authorities
Investigate New Possible Radioactive Leak at Japanese Nuclear Plant Hit
by Earthquake
TOKYO
(Fox) — "Authorities were investigating a new possible
radioactive leak at a nuclear plant hit by an earthquake in northern
Japan, Kyodo News agency said.
Officials
said a series of stacked drums containing low-level nuclear waste fell
over during Monday's quake and some of the lids were found open, Kyodo
said, citing officials in the city of Kashiwazaki, near the epicenter.
Another
leak at the Kashiwazaki Kariwa nuclear power plant would sow further
doubts about the safety of Japan's
nuclear power plants, which have suffered a long string of accidents
and cover-ups amid deep concerns they are vulnerable in earthquakes.
Monday's
6.8-magnitude quake triggered a small fire at an electrical transformer
in the sprawling plant. But it was announced only 12 hours later that
the temblor also caused a leak of water containing radioactive material.
Officials
said the water leak was harmless and well below safety standards..."
And
people wonder why I'm not a big fan of so-called "clean" Nuclear
energy... Just do some reserach on what DU is and where it comes
from. Not pretty stuff.
Monday, July 16th, 2007
- Gas prices rise on global oil,
refinery shutdowns
NEW
YORK (Reuters) - "The average price for a gallon of gasoline in
the United States rose about 6 cents over the past three weeks on
higher global oil prices and capacity reductions at two refineries in
the Midwest, an industry analyst said on Sunday.
The national average for
self-serve, regular gas was $3.0577 on July
13, up 6 cents compared with the national average of $2.9961 a gallon
on June 22, according to the nationwide Lundberg survey of about 7,000
gas stations.
This was a reversal from
the prior five weeks between May 18 and June 22, when prices dropped
nearly 19 cents.
"The price cutting that
we saw in the prior five weeks was arrested
by much stronger crude oil prices and continued U.S. refining
problems," survey editor Trilby Lundberg said.
The U.S. Benchmark grade
rose $4.79 per barrel during the three weeks to July 13 to close at
$73.99.
At the same time the
United States continued to have problems with some of its refineries.
Flooding caused
Coffeyville Resources shut down its Kansas refinery
on July 12, while BP had to cut back production at its Whiting,
Indiana, refinery on July 11 because of a small leak. Both were
expected to be back at to close to full production this week.
In the Midwest, gas
prices rose on average 24 cents per gallon
during the three-week period with some cities seeing rises of more than
30 cents including Tulsa, Oklahoma, and Des Moines, Iowa.
A gallon of gas cost only
about a penny more on the Gulf and East
Coasts, but in the Western region and in the Rockies states, gas prices
fell 6 to 7 cents during the three weeks.
Tucson, Arizona, had the
lowest average gas price in the nation at
$2.80 a gallon, while Chicago drivers paid the most at an average
$3.46, according to the latest survey..."
More:
Oil
eyes record high on North Sea supply worries
One hint of
bad news after another. Is our petroleum situation doomed?
- Polish, U.S. presidents to discuss
missle shield
WARSAW (Reuters) - "President George
W. Bush meets his Polish
counterpart Lech Kaczynski on Monday to iron out details of plans for a
U.S. missile shield in eastern Europe that could strain relations with
an already jittery Moscow.
Underlining the growing
tension between Russia and the West,
President Vladimir Putin on Saturday signed a decree suspending
Moscow's participation in the Conventional Forces in Europe (CFE)
treaty.
But Washington is
determined to go ahead with building the missile
shield in Poland and the Czech Republic despite Putin's objections and
proposal to use a radar in Azerbaijan instead.
The talks with Kaczynski,
one of Moscow's most outspoken critics and
a key U.S. ally in Europe, should bring the plan closer to life.
"We won't be announcing a
final agreement in Washington because
President Kaczynski will want to do this at home. But we should be much
closer to a deal after the meeting," said a senior Polish official who
declined to be named.
Washington wants to place
interceptor missiles in Poland and a radar
facility in the Czech Republic to protect the United States and its
allies from missile attacks from what it calls "rogue states" such as
Iran and North Korea.
President Bush last month
visited both Poland and the Czech
Republic, which has already agreed to host the radar site on its
territory.
So far Poland has held out, hoping to negotiate related military
contracts or other concessions. Other unresolved issues include related
legal matters, such as the status of U.S. soldiers on Polish soil..."
Let's not kid ourselves, this Missle
Shield idea is not intented to defend ONLY
against Iran.
- Strong 6.8
Magnitude Earthquake Kills 4 and Injures Over 400 in Japan
TOKYO (Fox) — "A
6.8-magnitude earthquake rocked Japan's
northwest coast on Monday, reportedly killing at least four people. The
quake injured more than 400 people, flattened hundreds of buildings and
triggered a fire at a nuclear power plant.
Fire sirens could be
heard in hard-hit Kashiwazaki
city, and older buildings were reduced to piles of lumber. National
broadcaster NHK reported more than 400 people were hurt, with injuries
including broken bones, cuts and bruises.
Two
women in Kashiwazaki died, an official at Kashiwazaki Central Hospital
said on condition of anonymity, citing hospital protocol. NHK reported
later reported that an additional two people had died.
"I
was so scared — the violent shaking went on for 20 seconds," Ritei
Wakatsuki, an employee of convenience store Lawson, told The Associated
Press by telephone from Kashiwazaki. "I almost fainted by the fear of
shaking."
Flames and billows of black smoke
poured from the Kashiwazaki nuclear plant, which automatically shut
down during the quake. The fire, at an electrical transformer, was put
out shortly after noon and there was no release of radioactivity or
damage to the reactors, said Motoyasu Tamaki, a Tokyo Electric Power
Co. official..."
No
warning or predictions for this type of Natural Disaster makes it one
of the most devastating.
Sunday, July 15th, 2007
- Russia withdraws from arms treaty
MOSCOW, Russia (AP) --
Russia on Saturday suspended its
participation in a key European arms control treaty that governs
deployment of troops on the continent, the Kremlin said, a move that
threatened to further aggravate Moscow's already tense relations with
the West.
President Vladimir Putin
signed a decree suspending Russia's
participation in the Conventional Forces in Europe Treaty due to
"extraordinary circumstances ... which affect the security of the
Russian Federation and require immediate measures," the Kremlin said in
a statement.
Putin has in the past
threatened to freeze his
country's compliance with the treaty, accusing the United States and
its NATO partners of undermining regional stability with U.S. plans for
a missile defense system in former Soviet bloc countries in Eastern
Europe.
Under the moratorium,
Russia
would halt inspections and verifications of its military sites by NATO
countries and would no longer limit the number of its conventional
weapons, the Foreign Ministry said in a statement.
In Brussels, NATO
spokesman James Appathurai condemned the decision. "NATO regrets this
decision by the Russian Federation. It is a step in the wrong
direction," Appathurai said.
The treaty, between
Russian and
NATO members, was signed in 1990 and amended in 1999 to reflect changes
since the breakup of the Soviet Union, adding the requirement that
Moscow withdraw troops from the former Soviet republics of Moldova and
Georgia.
Russia has ratified the
amended version, but the United
States and other NATO members have refused to do so until Russia
completely withdraws.
Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said
Russia could no longer tolerate a situation where it was complying with
the treaty but its partners were not, and he expressed hope that
Russia's move would induce Western nations to commit to the updated
treaty..."
More:
Russia suspends
arms control pact
I wonder
what ol' Rootin' Tootin' Vladimir Putin has up his sleeve this time...
- JPMorgan awaits consolidation
before EU buys: report
FRANKFURT (Reuters) - European retail
banks must consolidate to become attractive takeover targets, the head
of JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM.N: Quote, Profile, Research) was
quoted as saying in an interview with Germany's Der Spiegel magazine.
International retail
banking was JPMorgan's biggest strategic gap, Jamie Dimon was quoted as
saying. And the bank could carry out an acquisition in this area, and
possibly in Europe, the CEO said.
Timing would depend on
prices and possibilities, Dimon told the magazine. "Now we are indeed
strong enough, but first larger entities have to be created through the
process of further consolidation," Der Spiegel quoted Dimon as saying.
"They could then become
an interesting takeover target for us, but that will more likely be an
issue for my successor," he added..."
Like rats off of a sinking ship. First Haliburton moved the
entire
business to Dubai, and now this. The writing is on the wall folks.
- Man
arrested, goes to court after rampage in armored vehicle
MELBOURNE,
Australia (Reuters) -- "A man appeared in court
in Sydney on Saturday after taking an armored personnel carrier on a
rampage through the city's western suburbs in which he destroyed six
mobile phone towers, Australian media reported.
Suburban Mt Druitt police Chief
Inspector Guy Haberley said the
45-year-old man had been arrested on his way to damaging a seventh
tower, according to News Ltd.
"He continued to destroy
mobile
tower communications sheds by crashing through the perimeter fence and
colliding with structures, causing significant damage," Haberley was
quoted as saying.
The charges included
malicious damage, break and enter, predatory driving and driving in a
dangerous manner.
Australian radio reported the man did
not apply for bail during
the court appearance, and the case was adjourned until Monday..."
More
and more deranged people getting their hands on tanks these days.
What gives?
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