News
Archives, July 22-28, 2007
Saturday, July 28th, 2007
- The end of the party
LONDON (CNNMoney.com) -- Dealmakers,
investors and home owners in
the United States are facing a grim summer as conditions for borrowers
get worse.
Until recently, there has
been a seemingly unlimited
supply of cheap money to fuel leveraged buyouts and other takeovers.
There was also an easy flow of mortgage money available before the
housing market turned south and the crisis erupted in subprime
mortgages made to borrowers with poor credit.
But now investors are
showing a greater disdain for risky debt - and
fears about a looming credit crunch have shaken investor confidence
worldwide. The Dow Jones industrial average plunged 311 points Thursday
- its second-worst day of the year - and sent global stock markets
reeling. The Dow opened lower Friday as well but later stabilized and
was little changed in mid-morning.
Besides triggering a
global
stock selloff, the jitters are casting a shadow on the buyout boom and
could slow down everything from private equity deals to corporate
restructuring plans.
The housing market,
meanwhile, is still struggling to find a bottom.
The subprime meltdown started the worries in credit markets - and the
extent of the problems in the subprime mortgage market remains
uncertain.
"The ultimate outcome of
the decline in mortgage
credit quality is not wholly predictable," Moody's Economy.com said in
a July 26 report. While there are efforts being made to forestall the
surge in foreclosures, "the downside risks outweigh the positives," the
report said.
Credit markets have been
roiled as investors have
begun shying away from risk, demanding better terms on corporate bonds
and loans, meaning the old days of cheap, easy money for corporations
may be past.
"This is part of a
process of removing liquidity and
increasing the expected returns required of people to tolerate risk,"
Charles Diebel, an analyst at Nomura International, said about the
turbulence in the market.
Tighter credit is troubling to
investors for two reasons. It's likely to slow the buyout boom that's
helped prop up stock prices. And it could raise the cost of borrowing
for companies, hurting corporate earnings. To date, there have been
roughly 20 buyout-related debt deals that have been postponed as credit
markets have tightened..."
More:
Dow
suffers worst week in over 4 years
Florida
may have a recession on its horizon
Stocks
plummet on credit fears,
Worst Week
in S&P in 5 years
Data,
earnings loom after painful week
Volatility
sweeps global markets
Housing
slump gets longer, and longer...
The party is over, but nobody wants to stick
around and help clean up this mess.
- U.S. oil jumps $2 on economic
data, supply worries
NEW YORK
(Reuters) - "U.S. oil prices jumped $2 to near $77 a barrel
on Friday as supply concerns and signs of U.S. economic growth helped
counter worries about falling stock markets.
U.S. oil traded up $1.97
at $76.92 a barrel by 1806 GMT, while
benchmark London Brent crude rose $1.20 to $76.38 a barrel, after
ending $1.14 lower on Thursday.
U.S. gross domestic
product rose at a 3.4 percent annual rate -- the
fastest since 4.8 percent in the first quarter of 2006 -- after growing
at a downwardly revised 0.6 percent pace in the first quarter, the
Commerce Department said on Friday.
"This morning's GDP
figure seems to have instilled renewed
confidence in the market that was somewhat shaken yesterday," said Mike
Fitzpatrick, vice president at MF Global.
Crude fell on Thursday as
more signs of deterioration in the U.S.
housing market and problems in financing corporate takeovers sent stock
markets lower, stirring concerns about energy demand growth.
U.S. stocks slid again on
Friday, sending the benchmark S&P 500 index down more than 1
percent as the concerns persisted.
Oil has surged over the
past month to near record highs over $78 as supply concerns helped draw
investor interest.
Government inventory data
on Wednesday showed a third straight
decline in U.S. crude stocks, and analysts said output curbs by the
Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries would ensure a continuing
decline through the third quarter.
Meanwhile, analysts cut their non-OPEC oil supply growth estimates
for this year by more than half due to faster-than-expected declines
from producers such as Norway and Mexico, a Reuters poll showed on
Friday..."
I wonder when they're going to come out
with an internal combustion engine (steam maybe?) that burns paper
money, as it seems fairly soon that it will be a comparatively cheaper
source of fuel.
- Flood-hit
areas face futher rain
Wales, U.K. (BBC) - "Heavy rain is
forecast for Saturday night and Sunday, bringing the risk of more
flooding in England and Wales.
Gloucestershire Police have said anyone caught damaging
water containers or causing public disorder at water points could
expect a custodial sentence.
Residents
have been warned not to use water bowsers with broken seals after
someone urinated into one of them.
Around
130,000 homes in Gloucestershire are still without running water and
the situation is likely to last for days.
Rain warning
Gloucestershire
Police said people causing problems
would be dealt with "robustly", but Chief Constable Tim Brain added
there had been few reports of such incidents.
Mr
Brain said six million litres of bottled and bulk
water had been supplied to Gloucestershire on Thursday and efforts were
being made to step up the number of times the bowsers were refilled to
four a day.
Heavy
rain is forecast for south Wales and central and southern England on
Saturday night and Sunday morning.
But Mr
Brain said it was unlikely to cause the same level of flooding as last
week.
Water
firm Severn Trent will start supplying water from
its flooded Mythe plant near Tewkesbury on Tuesday but it will not be
safe to drink..."
More
water for the rain-ravaged Brits. Hey, cross the pond and bring
some water for us; we're dying here in the U.S.!
Friday, July 27th, 2007
- Wall St indexes sell off on
housing, credit fears
NEW YORK (Reuters) - "Stocks
plummeted on Thursday, with the Dow
industrials tumbling more than 300 points, on signs of further weakness
in the housing market and deteriorating conditions for corporate
buyouts.
The S&P shed about
$300 billion in market value in the worst
single session since the February 27 global market sell-off, with
surprisingly weak earnings reports also weighing on stocks. Even with
the sharp decline, the Dow and S&P 500 are within 5 percent of
their respective record highs.
A drop in quarterly
profit at Exxon Mobil Corp., helped wipe out
more than $16 billion in market value of the world's largest publicly
traded company.
The daily drumbeat of bad
news on housing on Thursday came from two
of the largest home builders, as D.R. Horton Inc and Beazer Homes
posted quarterly losses.
Financial shares took a
beating on growing evidence that problems in
the subprime mortgage market are spreading, making financing the
corporate buyouts that drove the market's spring rally more difficult.
"It was easy credit that
helped fuel stock prices," said Peter
Boockvar, equity strategist at Miller Tabak & Co. in New York.
Worsening credit conditions means "less liquidity for private equity,
stock buybacks, business expansion, consumer spending, global growth."
The Dow Jones industrial
average dropped 311.50 points, or 2.26
percent, to close at 13,473.57. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index was
down 35.43 points, or 2.33 percent, at 1,482.66. The Nasdaq Composite
Index was down 48.83 points, or 1.84 percent, at 2,599.34.
Like the S&P, the Dow
suffered its worst one-day percentage loss
since February 27. In late morning, the NYSE imposed trading curbs as
losses mounted to restrict large-block sales when a stock is falling.
The Dow had tumbled more than 400 points by the afternoon.
On the
floor of the New York Stock Exchange, traders said their
computer screens were a sea of red all day from the heavy sell orders.
But some noted that the sell-off still did not come close to the plunge
suffered on "Black Monday" in October 1987..."
More:
Asian
shares fall, yen jumps on U.S. Credit Woes
Fear
grips Wall Street
New
home sales fall again, durable goods orders weak
It's getting
really ugly. Don't look kids.
- Oil holds firm above $75, eyes
tight global supply
SINGAPORE
(Reuters) - "Oil rose on Friday, holding firm above
$75 a
barrel as traders bet that fears of tight summer supplies would offset
a fresh wave of risk aversion that struck U.S. equities and dragged oil
down a day ago.
London Brent crude gained
41 cents to $75.59 a barrel by 0340 GMT,
after ending $1.14 lower on Thursday. U.S. crude rose 43 cents to
$75.38, after a loss of 93 cents the previous day, when it rallied more
than $1 midsession to trade at a premium to Brent.
Traders saw an
opportunity to buy after Thursday's dip, felt across
commodity markets, which came as weak U.S. housing data revived worries
about the economy of the world's biggest oil consumer and sparked a
flight from risky assets.
"The upward movement
again shows the market is tight on supply
because of the peak demand period," said Gerard Burg, an oil and gas
analyst from National Australia Bank.
Oil's pick up came
despite a fall in Asian shares on Friday, which
tracked losses on Wall Street where the blue-chip Dow Jones industrial
index fell 2.3 percent in its worst drop since the last global sell-off
in late February.
Despite concerns of the
potential for weaker U.S. demand, government
inventory data on Wednesday showed a third-straight draw in U.S. crude
stocks, including a 1.4 million-barrel fall at the Cushing, Oklahoma,
delivery point for U.S. oil futures.
The drop for the
ninth-straight week at Cushing helped boost U.S.
crude prices rally to a premium over Brent on Thursday for the first
time since February, before the market pull-back.
Sentiment over global
tight supply prevailed as OPEC's oil output
curbs could ensure a continuing decline in U.S. crude stocks through
the third quarter, analysts said.
Exports
from OPEC-producer Nigeria, which has been plagued by
militant attacks on oil infrastructure, are expected to fall 110,000
barrels per day (bpd) to around 2 million bpd in September, traders
said..."
And the prices of everything else are
slowly climbing.
- Iranian
minister says sanctions are ineffective
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - "More U.S. or
international sanctions will not
persuade Iran to back down on its nuclear program and could lead to
"confrontation" with the West, Iranian Foreign Minister Manouchehr
Mottaki said in an interview published on Thursday.
Speaking this week to
National Public Radio's "All Things
Considered" program, Mottaki dismissed two sets of U.N. sanctions
imposed on Iran since December and said tougher penalties would not
work.
"In today's world, the
instrument of sanctions is no longer
effective," he said according to a report on the NPR Web site which was
to be broadcast by the network later on Thursday.
U.S. officials and
experts have insisted for some time that U.S. and
U.N. sanctions are having a significant effect on Tehran, especially on
its ability to access the international financial system.
A third U.N. sanctions
resolution is under discussion by the United
States, other permanent members of the U.N. Security Council -- China,
Britain, France and Russia -- and Germany.
Mottaki told NPR the new
resolution would not force Iran to halt its
uranium enrichment program, which the United States and its allies say
is aimed at fueling nuclear weapons but Tehran insists is intended to
produce electricity.
"It will be the start of
a confrontation," he said.
Although Mottaki gave no details on what he meant by confrontation,
NPR quoted senior Iranian officials as suggesting Iran might stop
cooperating with the U.N. International Atomic Energy Agency, which
inspects nuclear facilities, or withdraw from the nuclear
Non-Proliferation Treaty.
Military action to delay Iran's nuclear
capability is often discussed in Washington as a possible U.S.
option..."
To
me, that sounds like a dare.
Thursday, July 26th, 2007
- Unsustainable future
Canada (Gander Beacon) - "Black
Tuesday —
Oct. 29, 1929. That’s the date identified as the start of the Great
Depression. It swept across North America, Europe and affected
virtually every country on the planet.
While it was a period of intense
hardship many agree it didn’t have the
same devastating affect on much of Newfoundland, particularly rural
areas, as it did in the industrial, farming and urban centres of what
was then Canada.
Some might argue that was because the
people of Newfoundland and
Labrador had little to begin with.
That may have been true, but it was also
due to the fact people in this
province knew how to be self-sufficient.
Fish was readily available, and many
people grew their own vegetables
and took advantage of what nature had to offer, whether it was berries,
a brace of rabbits or a caribou.
If would be a different story if the
depression were to happen today.
It’s a simple fact that much of the developed world has lost touch with
its food supply and agriculture in general.
Food is essential for life. But food has
become more than a component
of survival. It has become a commodity, and, in some cases, a luxury.
The sad fact is few people know how food
is grown, harvested and
processed. And with that lack of knowledge people have literally lost
control over the food they eat.
And it’s a situation that is not being
addressed.
Federation of Agriculture President Merv
Wiseman said this province
only produces 1.5 per cent of the red meat consumed here, and only has
the capacity to produce about 10 per cent of the vegetables.
The bottom line is this province is not
capable of being
self-sufficient.
So what’s the problem? The supermarket
shelves are full, Newfoundland
and Labrador is part of a developed nation, and it’s unlikely another
Great Depression will hit anytime soon.
Unfortunately, another depression is the
least of the concern when it
comes to food.
With the increasing amount of imported
foods from other countries,
there are issues of food safety and security. From last year’s E-coli
tainted spinach to raspberries from Guatemala linked to cyclosporiasis
outbreaks in Ontario in1998, there is the risk of bacterial
contamination leading to food-borne illness.
And few people have given much thought
to the economic impact of the
latest craze — biofuels. In a world increasingly obsessed with climate
change these fuels — touted as the clean alternative to fossil fuels —
have garnered a lot of attention from governments.
Currently, the most common biofuel is
ethanol — an alcohol fuel derived
from sugars and starch found in plants such as corn, soybeans and
wheat. The same grains used to feed humans and livestock.
What happens when farmers, trying to get
a better price for their
grains sell more of their harvest to the companies producing biofuels?
There’s less for human and livestock consumption.
What happens when more farmers see the
economic benefits of planting
those types of crops to get those higher dividends? They grow less of
other food crops.
Under the basic rule of supply and
demand that means food prices climb.
Go to your cupboard and look at the labels.
How much of it contains
ingredients derived from corn or other grains that are used to produce
biofuels?
And you think a T-bone steak is
expensive now. How much will it cost
when livestock feed prices skyrocket?
In the meantime across this province,
good agricultural land is being
swallowed up by development. Whether it is urban sprawl, mining or
tourism, good arable land is being lost.
Agriculture — including food safety and
security — is simply not
getting the attention it deserves. Society and government seem
apathetic towards it.
Look at the last provincial budget. Less than $10 million was allocated
to an agriculture industry worth hundreds of millions to the provincial
economy.
The provincial government is constantly
talking about sustainable
development, bolstering the rural areas of the province, being the
masters of its own house, etc.
Premier Williams wants the province to become
an energy warehouse. It
will all be laid out in the much-anticipated Energy Plan.
Oil and gas, hydroelectricity, mining — these
are all very important
elements of the provincial economy.
But shouldn’t food and agriculture be as well?
So where’s the province’s agricultural plan?
Where’s the plan to
guarantee food safety and security? What’s the plan if there is a food
shortage?
Are the people of the province supposed to pay
a visit to the tourists
and celebrities camped out at the local resort — that was built on good
agricultural land — to ask for the scraps form their table?
Here is an industry vital to the people and
economy of this province
and it doesn’t even have its own government department. Instead it is
tucked away in the Department of Natural Resources alongside mining and
oil and gas.
How can one minister effectively oversee
government’s largest portfolio
and give more than lip service to the province’s agricultural needs.
That is not a criticism of Natural Resources
Minister Kathy Dunderdale;
it’s a criticism of governments past and present. Each and every
elected official in this province should take agriculture and feeding
people safely very seriously.
This is an issue that needs more action than a
Sustainability Act or a
partisan Land Use Authority.
Oil and gas, mining and tourism dollars might
help fill the provincial
coffers but they won’t do much to fill an empty belly."
More:
Prime
borrowers catching subprime ills
Oil
climbs above $76 on mixed U.S. inventory; outage
The main
article may be from Canada, but in this instance our fates are
inexorably linked; and this article hits many key points right on the
head.
- Iran says it will never stop
nuclear activities
TEHRAN (Reuters) - "Iranian President
Mahmoud Ahmadinejad said on
Wednesday Tehran would never yield to international pressure to suspend
its nuclear program.
"Iran will never abandon
its peaceful (nuclear) work. Our nuclear
work is legal and why should we stop it?" Ahmadinejad told state
television.
The United States and
other Western powers suspect Iran has a secret
program to build nuclear weapons. The oil-producing Islamic Republic
says its nuclear program is only for generation of electricity for the
benefit of its economy.
Two sets of U.N.
sanctions have been imposed on Iran for defying
Security Council resolutions demanding it suspend all nuclear fuel
activity.
Ahmadinejad said any
further U.N. resolutions would not prevent Iran from obtaining nuclear
technology.
"Let's say they issue
resolution number 300 ... what will happen? It
should be remembered that Iran is obtaining nuclear technology. They
have to eventually accept that," he said.
In an attempt to avert
tougher sanctions, Tehran has agreed to
increase cooperation with the U.N.'s nuclear watchdog, the
International Atomic Energy Agency, to clarify the scope of its atomic
work.
Iran
agreed during negotiations with the IAEA on Tuesday to let U.N.
inspectors revisit its Arak nuclear reactor site early next week..."
Aren't we at the point now to know how
to deal with this Iranian administration?
- Peru
cold snap kills 70 children
Peru (BBC) - "At
least 70 children have died during a spell of freezing weather in the
Andean regions of Peru, officials have said.
The
children, all under five years old, died of pneumonia and other
respiratory illnesses over the past three months.
They lived in rural areas at high altitude, where
temperatures in some cases are reported to have plummeted to as low as
-20C (-4F).
Peruvian Health Minister Carlos Vallejos said almost
2,000 medics had been deployed in the affected areas.
He told the BBC he expected the situation to get worse
before it improves.
The National Civil Defence Institute (Indeci) has
launched a campaign to provide clothing and shelter to the worst
affected areas.
The institute's General Luis Salomino said he had
collected 300 metric tons of clothes and other supplies from
businesses, individuals and government departments in the capital,
Lima.
Forecasters in Peru are predicting the cold spell will
continue until September.
Even low-lying jungle regions are facing unusually
cold weather, with temperatures dropping to 10C (50F).
Many adults have also died during the harsh winter,
and
thousands of people are suffering from pneumonia and other respiratory
infections..."
More:
Southern Europe bakes in
second heat wave
33
deaths in Romania, 5 in Greece as some areas top 110 degrees
We're
having a definate year of climate extremes so far.
Wednesday, July 25th, 2007
- Five Reasons for Investors to
sell, sell, sell
Despite stocks hitting record levels last
week, there's still plenty to fear
New York (MSNBC) - "U.S. stocks
reached record levels last week.
Earnings season is under way, with many expecting a modest rise in
corporate profits. Unemployment is very low. So far problems with
housing haven't infected the rest of the economy, which seems poised to
bounce back from slow growth in the first quarter.
So
what is there to worry about? Plenty. No matter how wonderful things
look, the good times won't last forever. Even as most market observers
remain bullish, we asked them what could derail this bull market.
Stocks could keep setting records for months or even years, but it pays
for investors to know what dangers are lurking out there. This Five for
the Money column lists the five biggest threats to the stock market
rally.
Earnings
Will
any stocks and sectors step up to the plate to push the market even
higher? Investors are closely watching corporate earnings for clues.
Earnings season began this month and so far
it's not clear whether corporate profits will keep pace with
expectations. Expect a lot of volatility in the market as big players
surprise investors with good or bad news. David Scott, chief investment
officer of the Chase Large Cap Growth Fund, expects less support for
the rally from financial and health-care stocks. So he's watching tech
stocks closely. "They're a large enough part of the market that they
can provide solid leadership," Scott says. Disappointments from big
tech firms or key players in other sectors could scare the bulls in a
big way.
Consumer
spending
Consumers
drive the U.S. economy, and so far they've held up well despite housing
problems and high gas prices. Perhaps that's because unemployment is
low — at 4.5% in June.
What
are the risks for consumer spending? Charles Dumas of Lombard Street
Research believes the U.S. economy is growing much more slowly than
many on Wall Street think. One reason is weakening consumer spending.
"Gas prices are really knocking the stuffing out of people's buying
power," he says.
Some
think Americans, who save very little and borrow a lot, are about to be
hit by the realization that they need to cut up the credit cards.
"We've been addicted to spending and borrowing, and we need to stop
that," says Peter Schiff, president of Euro Pacific Capital.
Watch
closely for data later this summer on the back-to-school season, which
is an important time for retailers. "If this back-to-school season is
bad, it could really highlight some weakness in the consumer," says
Neil Cataldi of Susquehanna Financial Group. High energy prices might
also catch up to consumers later this year, if heating costs rise as
the weather turns colder.
Inflation
"Inflation
is still a concern out there," says Sam Stovall, chief investment
strategist at Standard & Poor's. Several factors could push
inflation higher, including rapid global growth, the tightness in the
job market, or higher commodity prices. For example, S&P forecasts
oil, now about $75 per barrel, could be headed above $80.
Why
are rising prices such a big deal? "The Fed has said, 'We will stop at
nothing to defeat inflation,'" says Richard Sparks of Schaeffer's
Investment Research. The faster prices rise, the more likely that
Federal Reserve policymakers could decide to hike interest rates later
this year. That would cool off the economy. The biggest worry is that
the Fed is forced to raise rates while the economy is still growing
only slowly, forcing the economy into a recession.
Subprime
and housing
O.K.,
here's the really scary one. Many on Wall Street believe the problem
with subprime mortgages is limited and under control. They may be
right, but it's impossible for anyone to predict how many debtors will
ultimately default on their obligations. Many home buyers used creative
financing to buy expensive houses in the years of booming home prices.
"It's a tough one to get a handle on because we're not really sure
what's truly at risk," Scott says. "It could spring on us suddenly."
What other forms of risky credit threaten debt
markets beyond subprime? Bill Larkin, portfolio manager of fixed income
at Cabot Money Management, believes he's already seeing signs that
subprime worries are spreading, rocking other areas of the credit
market. He sees a "flight to quality," with many bond investors fleeing
not just subprime but anything with a hint of risk.
If
the trend accelerates, it becomes even tougher for home buyers to get
mortgages, pushing home prices lower. It also becomes more expensive
for companies and hedge funds to borrow. That could cut off the flow of
money into stock buybacks, mergers, and acquisitions, especially the
private equity buyouts that have fueled the bull market. "Just like
raising rates, this acts as an economic brake," Larkin says.
"People
are starting to get nervous," Larkin adds, but it takes a while for
these trends to show up. "It doesn't just — boom — happen." Are there
lots of other forms of bad debt out there? Are lenders — as Larkin
jokes, "using their garage door as collateral?" No one knows. "That's
where the risk is," he says. "There's not a lot of transparency here."
Pimco
bond guru Bill Gross has warned investors not to think subprime is only
a problem for a few hedge funds or investment banks. The problem
affects millions of home buyers who financed their houses with cheap
money but are now seeing mortgage payments rise along with defaults.
Gross wrote in his July investment outlook, "This problem — aided and
abetted by Wall Street — ultimately resides in America's heartland,
with millions and millions of overpriced homes and asset-backed
collateral with a different address — Main Street."
Shiny
happy investors
As
markets rise, the bulls' success may be their biggest weakness. Too
much optimism can derail a rally as quickly as too much gloom and doom.
It's
a cliché on Wall Street that markets like to climb a "wall of
worry."
The more doubts about a rally, the more headwinds it faces on the way
up, the more likely a bull market has a firm foundation. "We like to
see some pessimism in the market," Schaeffer's Sparks says. Concerns
about interest rates, terrorism, gas prices, or inflation? "Those are
the bricks in the wall of worry."
Despite
the index's record-breaking pace recently, experts like Sparks still
see signs of skepticism. To gauge this, investors can look at the
amount of short-selling—trades betting stock prices will fall — or
ratios between puts and calls.
Sparks
also keeps an eye on the media, including articles like this. Be on the
lookout for articles proclaiming "happy days are here again," Sparks
says. If the media is sounding too positive about stocks, it may be a
sign that retail investors are jumping into the market. And if the
average investor is buying again, you can bet the "smart money" is
selling, and stock prices are near peak levels."
More:
Stocks
Tumble on Subprime Jitters, Profit Concerns; Dow Drops More Than 200
Points
Housing woes
hit US share markets
Cracks
showing in keeping housing woes contained
Stocks
slide as housing concerns mount
Dollar
hits 2-1/2-mth low vs yen on credit worries
Bailout
time? If you're asking that question now you've waited too long.
- Wildfires Threaten West,
Firefighter Killed in Helicopter Crash
YREKA, Calif. (Fox) — "Fire
managers worried Tuesday that lightning could spark more blazes in
the West, while investigators tried to determine why a helicopter
crashed while delivering water to firefighters in the Klamath National
Forest, killing the pilot.
The
helicopter went down Monday in rugged mountains about 12 miles
southeast of Happy Camp, said Duane Lyon, a U.S. Forest Service
spokesman. It had been carrying a large water container to refill
backpacks for firefighters on the ground, and several firefighters saw
it crash.
The pilot, the only person on board, was under
contract with the Forest Service, Lyon said.
More
than 1,100 fire crews were battling the cluster of about 30
lightning-sparked fires covering 14 square miles near the Oregon state
line. The fires started July 10 and had threatened up to 550 homes near
the town of Happy Camp.
Fire crews have been wrestling with dozens of huge
wildfires across the West, primarily in Idaho, Nevada, Oregon and Utah,
according to the National Interagency Fire Center.
Fire managers worried
Tuesday that dry lightning storms in some of those states could start
more blazes, though the systems also were expected to bring rain, the
agency said.
"It's great to have rain, but
there's always the possibility of a downdraft and erratic winds.
There's a high concern over additional lightning strikes," said Ricardo
Zuniga, a fire information officer in Utah, where a blaze has charred
more than 33 square miles and forced the evacuation of several
communities.
Fire lines built along the east
side of the Utah blaze held during the night, protecting the town of
Fountain Green, home of about 1,000 people about 90 miles south of Salt
Lake City.
"We
didn't have any big advances on the fire anywhere," fire information
officer Terry McDonald said Tuesday. Fountain Green was not evacuated,
but residents were told to leave the small towns of Oaker Hills, Indian
Ridge, Elk Ridge, Indianola and Holiday Oaks, officials said.
In southwestern Utah, a fire in and around
backcountry areas of Zion National Park was 80 percent contained after
burning 14 square miles.
Mandatory
evacuation orders remained in effect for tiny Jarbidge, Nev., within a
mile of a blaze that had blackened more than 880 square miles on the
Idaho-Nevada line, fire information officer Bill Watt said. While
roughly 90 percent of the fire was in Idaho, the most active part was
in Nevada and was 15 percent contained, he said..."
I only hope this drought does not
continue for much longer.
- Earthquake
"Swarm" Strikes Africa, Puzzles Experts
Kenya (National
Geographic) - "The tremors began on July 12, so faint that they were
barely noticed. A
week later, a couple of good jolts sent people fleeing their offices in
downtown Nairobi. Then the tremors were gone.
Scientists are still unsure about what exactly caused this "earthquake
swarm"—a cluster of relatively mild shakes spaced out over several days
in Kenya and Tanzania. The quakes—one of which reached magnitude
5.9—caused little damage but spread fear that a big quake was imminent.
Was it fault activity
along the Rift Valley, where the African tectonic
plate is stretching? Or was it Ol Doinyo Lengai, a Tanzanian volcano
that sits near the swarm's epicenter?
"Mountain of God" Takes the Heat
So far, government
officials have pushed the theory that
rumbling in Ol Doinyo Lengai—whose name means "Mountain of God" in
Masai, was to blame for the tremors.
Fears that a massive
eruption was near triggered several hundred people
to evacuate its slopes, and the Tanzanian government warned tourists to
stay away.
Kenyan government
spokesman Alfred Mutua reported that the
9,470-feet (2,886-meters) tall volcano had erupted Friday and that the
eruption had eased the pressure that caused the swarm of at least a
dozen mini-quakes.
Scientists at Dar es
Salaam University in Tanzania said there was
indeed evidence of some sort of eruption at the volcano and that they
would climb the mountain to investigate.
The mountain has a
history of playing tricks on people. Tremors
can loosen rocks that create dust as they tumble down the side,
resembling lava flows leaving a trail of ash and steam down the
mountain.
In March 2006 such a
scare caused an evacuation, when smoke
from a grass fire on the slope created the appearance of an eruption,
said Celia Nyamweru, an anthropology professor at St. Lawrence
University in New York.
Rift Valley Rumblings
Another possible cause of the tremors,
scientists say, is that the
earthquake swarm had nothing to do with the volcano at all, but was the
result of tectonic activity in Africa's Great Rift Valley, which
stretches approximately 3,700 miles (6,000 kilometers) in length..."
A
lot of activity by the Earth both above and below the surface.
Tuesday, July 24th, 2007
- Here is a good site for learning CPR
online for FREE!
- Dollar at 2-mth low vs yen, near
record low vs euro
TOKYO (Reuters) - "The dollar fell
to a two-month low against the yen
and hovered near a record low against the euro on Tuesday as worries
about U.S. subprime mortgage woes hurting the credit market and the
economy still weighed.
Traders said market
sentiment remained bearish for the dollar, and
players were awaiting U.S. economic data later in the week for clues on
whether the problems in the housing sector were spreading to broader
economic activity.
Concerns about a credit
market crunch and wider fallout from the
subprime mortgage troubles prompted some investors to unwind yen carry
trades, in which the low-yielding yen is sold to invest in
higher-yielding currencies and assets, traders said.
"The dollar selling is
driven by subprime mortgage concerns while
the yen's rise is due to some unwinding of carry trades," said Shogo
Nagaya, a forex manager at Nomura Securities.
"But the basic trend of
investors favoring high-yielding currencies
and those with clear prospects of rising interest rates remains
intact," Nagaya said.
Earlier in the session,
sterling rose to a fresh 26-year high
against the dollar while the Australian dollar hit an 18-year peak and
the New Zealand dollar scaled its strongest level since it was floated
in 1985.
The dollar fell 0.39
percent to 120.57 yen <JPY=>, a two-month low.
The euro inched up 0.14
percent to $1.3829 <EUR=>, nearing a
record high of $1.3846 struck on Monday on electronic trading platform
EBS..."
Same crap,
different day.
- Chinese cash fuels Barclays bid
United
Kingdom (BBC) - "The Chinese and Singapore governments have
become key
investors in Barclays, helping the UK firm to raise its offer for the
Dutch bank ABN Amro.
The China Development
Bank (CDB) and Temasek, the
investment arm of the Singaporean government, have invested
£2.4bn
(3.6bn euros) in Barclays.
And they will invest a
further
£6.5bn if the ABN takeover goes through.
Barclays has said it will
now pay
£45.4bn (67.5bn euros) in cash and shares for the Dutch bank.
Business opportunity
A group led by Royal Bank
of Scotland
(RBS) is also vying for ABN and its current offer is higher than
Barclays' revised bid.
Shares in Barclays -rose
after details
of the Asian tie-ups emerged, closing 3% higher at 735 pence.
The BBC's Business Editor
Robert Peston
revealed on Sunday that the Asian deals were being negotiated.
He said that Barclays
would be hoping
that its new
relationship with the CDB would yield it hundreds of millions of pounds
in extra profits from doing new business in the Chinese economy.
If Barclays acquires ABN,
the Chinese
state would emerge with a shareholding of 7.7% in the enlarged group.
It has pledged not to
raise its stake to
more then 9.9% of the group over the next three years.
A smaller stake of about
3% would be
taken by Temasek -
which is owned by the Singapore government but says all investment
decisions are made independently.
The company, whose chief
executive is
the wife of Singapore's prime minister, has about $80bn under
management.
CDB is state-owned,
though is seen by
analysts as one of
the country's most commercial institutions, financing industries
including petrochemicals and railways..."
The U.S. Economy is struggling with the pangs of overburden, while the
Chinese Economy is gobbling up everything related to power and control
it can.
- Britain Hit
With Worst Flooding in 60 Years
LONDON
(Fox) — "Emergency workers rescued hundreds of trapped people
Monday as water swallowed swaths of central England in the worst
flooding to hit the country for 60 years.
Officials said some
rivers were still rising, with the western section of the rain-swollen
River Thames on the verge of bursting its banks.
Roads
and parking lots were submerged, trains suspended, buses canceled.
Hundreds of thousands of people were without electricity or drinking
water, and farmers saw their summer crops destroyed.
Torrential rains have plagued Britain over the past
month — nearly 5 inches fell in some areas on Friday alone — and more
downpours were predicted this week.
"This
emergency is far from over and further flooding is extremely likely,"
Environment Secretary Hilary Benn told lawmakers in the House of
Commons.
On the outskirts of Oxford, 60 miles west of London,
about 50 elderly people were evacuated to a stadium from a retirement
community overlooking the swollen River Ock.
"People look at me and say I
look fine, but inside I'm all churned up," said Sylvia Williams, a
69-year-old widow among the evacuees.
The
stadium was stocked with blankets, food and bedding for up to 1,500
people in case the Thames burst its banks. Flood defenses in the center
of the town — home to the renowned 800-year-old university — were
holding so far, but Thames water levels were not expected to peak until
midnight.
The worst-hit areas Monday were
farther west, where cars were submerged and streets turned into canals.
Thousands of people were forced to leave their homes and businesses, as
rescue workers in helicopters and dinghies scooped stranded residents
onto dry land.
The Ministry of Defense said
military helicopters rescued more than 120 people from the rising
floodwaters, including 87 people trapped in a trailer park in
Gloucestershire county, central England.
Among
the hardest hit areas was the medieval market town of Tewkesbury, 110
miles northwest of London, where the cathedral and a few blocks of
nearby houses stood like an atoll in a vast stretch of muddy water that
stood 5 feet deep in places.
"It was just
devastation — total chaos, cars floating past, rubbish, all kinds,"
said John King, a 68-year-old retired firefighter from Tewkesbury. "You
just can't stop water of that power.
He said he saw goldfish swimming in his driveway.
Some
residents lined up for free water at local grocery stores, while others
took to canoes and small boats to ferry food and water to housebound
residents.
The last time Britain saw similar
flooding was in 1947, according to the Environment Agency. No deaths or
serious injuries have been reported in the current flooding.
The
Severn Trent Water company said at least 350,000 homes in
Gloucestershire, in western England, were without water after flooding
shut down a water treatment plant.
The Ministry
of Defense said water was being cleared after flooding at a nuclear
weapons-manufacturing site at Burghfield, about 40 miles west of
London. Officials said there was no risk of a radiation leak..."
We
sure could use some of that rain here in the U.S. as we are having
record-breaking droughts and triple-digit temperatures.
Monday, July 23rd, 2007
- Dollar falls to record low vs euro
TOKYO (Reuters) - "The dollar fell to
a record low against the euro
on Monday and a six-week low against the yen, hurt by continuing
worries about the U.S. subprime mortgage sector and some unwinding of
yen carry trades.
The yen seesawed, sliding
broadly in early Asian trading and hitting
record lows against the euro in a move that traders attributed to
speculative buying of sterling against the yen.
But the Japanese currency
later rebounded to hit a six-week peak
against the dollar of 120.80 yen on electronic trading platform EBS,
the yen's highest level since early June.
The yen extended its
gains after rallying on Friday, when a fall in
U.S. equities dampened investors' appetite for risk and prompted them
to unwind some bets against the low-yielding currency.
"It seems like there is
some risk reduction taking place, I guess
some unwinding of yen carry trades," said Yuji Matsuura, joint general
manager for Aozora Bank's forex and derivatives trading group.
"There was a strange move
around 4 a.m. to 5 a.m. this morning,"
said Matsuura, referring to the yen's early morning fall. "But after
that, the market has been persistently selling dollars and euros
against the yen.
Carry trades involve the
selling of low-yielding currencies such as the yen to invest in
higher-yielding currencies and assets.
The euro stood at $1.3830
as of 0201 GMT, hovering near a record high of $1.3846
struck earlier on Monday on EBS.
The
euro fell around 0.3 percent against the yen to 167.20 yen, having
pared its gains after surging to a record high
of 169.05 yen on EBS early on Monday..."
The Fed is
still playing the Economic Limbo with the U.S. Dollar.
Apparently, it can go pretty low.
- Oil falls, OPEC concern on world
economy
SYDNEY (Reuters) - "Oil prices fell
on Monday, on expectations of
higher U.S. refinery production and after remarks by OPEC that it is
ready to pump more oil if needed.
London Brent crude
currently seen as more representative of the
world market, slid 36 cents to $77.28 a barrel by 0444 GMT, after
easing 3 cents on Friday. U.S. crude for September traded 22 cents
lower at $75.57.
The Organization of the
Petroleum Exporting Countries is concerned
about the potential impact of near-record oil prices on the world's
economy, but has seen little sign that growth has been hit by higher
energy costs, the group's president said on Sunday.
OPEC stands ready to pump
more oil if needed, but it is not clear
whether the group will need to boost output before the end of the year,
OPEC President and United Arab Emirates Energy Minister Mohammed
al-Hamli told Reuters in an interview on Sunday.
But analysts said OPEC's
comments are unlikely to have a lasting impact on oil prices as supply
worries continue to loom.
"We have seen those
comments from OPEC for the last three years and
it seems like these are merely attempts to reassure the market that
supply will be available," said Gerard Burg, an oil and gas analyst at
National Australia Bank.
"These comments does not
mean that there is going to be a change in OPEC policies or a move to
increase supply soon."
Despite supply concerns
and surging oil prices, OPEC has yet to relax supply curbs in place
since last November.
Even as
oil prices hover at near record highs, global economies are
proving resilient to surging energy prices and oil consumption has
remained strong..."
Finally some good-news about Oil; though
it's not without its bitterness. Looks more like a
Good-News/Bad-News Situation.
- Idaho
wildfires threaten thousands of homes
BOISE, Idaho
(AP) -- "A wildfire grew by an estimated 200 square
miles in 24 hours, blackening grazing land Sunday as it threatened
thousands of southern Idaho homes and facilities at an Air Force
training range, fire officials said Sunday.
Two large wildfires along
the Nevada line combined Saturday to
create the 800-square-mile blaze, which burned grass and brush and was
less than a mile from a training range of Mountain Home Air Force Base.
No one has been seriously
hurt, but the homes of about 7,500 people in
the sparsely populated region were threatened, said Chuck Dickson, a
fire information officer.
The wildfire
was only about 5 percent contained, Dickson said, and mandatory
evacuations remained in effect for the towns of Murphy Hot Springs,
Idaho, and Jarbidge, Nevada.
The fire was near
Mountain Home's
Saylor Creek range, which pilots use before heading to Iraq and
Afghanistan. Dickson said tracking and radar facilities were at risk,
but he was not sure what else was on the range.
"When a fire
moves as quickly as this one does, pushed by the wind, it creates a
very hot heat front," Dickson said. "That will impact even steel
structures quite easily."
Officials with the base's
security and
fire departments on Sunday declined to comment about what type of
facilities, if any, were at risk or how vulnerable they might be.
Dickson said that ranches
in the area also were threatened, that a lot
of grazing area had been lost, and that cattle likely had died in the
fast-moving blaze. He didn't have an estimate of how many cattle were
on grazing allotments within the fire's perimeter.
Dozens of other large
fires were burning across the West on Sunday, primarily in Idaho,
Nevada, Oregon and Utah, according to the National Interagency Fire
Center..."
Oh
precious rain, please grace the western U.S. with your presence!
Sunday, July 22nd, 2007
- U.N. suspends peacekeepers amid
sex abuse charges
ABIDJAN, Ivory
Coast (Reuters) -- "The United Nations said on
Saturday it had suspended a Moroccan military contingent from its
peacekeeping mission in Cote d'Ivoire while it investigated allegations
of widespread sexual abuse.
"It means they don't
participate in our operations," said Hamadoun
Toure, spokesman for the U.N. mission in Cote d'Ivoire (ONUCI). "Those
who are found guilty will be sent back home."
The world body said the
measure was in addition to a decision to confine the entire battalion
of 734 soldiers to barracks.
U.N.
officials, speaking on condition of anonymity, said on Friday the
investigation involved Moroccan soldiers having sex with a large number
of underage girls in the West African country's northern rebel
stronghold of Bouake.
Toure said the
allegations had come to
light after the mission ran a campaign against sexual exploitation in
which it asked local people to inform it about abuses. It then sent a
team to carry out interviews and gather information.
The Cote d'Ivoire
mission numbers just over 9,000 uniformed personnel from more than 40
countries. Moroccans make up the bulk of the force in Bouake with some
Bangladeshi police, Pakistani engineers and Ghanaian medical personnel.
The peacekeepers, backed by troops from
former colonial power France,
are in the world's top cocoa grower to support a peace process that was
revived in March by an agreement between President Laurent Gbagbo and
rebel leader Guillaume Soro..."
Before they just stood idly by while the country they were
"peace-keeping" in massacred each other. Now they're joining in
the
meyhem. Useless Nations should really be dissolved; what a waste
of
time, resources and silly globalist ideals.
- Wildfire burning its way through
Utah
NEPHI, Utah
(AP) -- "A wildfire that may have been started by
sparks from a flat tire raced across thousands of acres toward a small
town Friday, a day after burning through a campground and motel and
forcing rescues.
With a highly skilled
team on its way from Florida, 150 area
firefighters were battling the 20-square-mile fire against a backdrop
of extraordinary heat and drought, with no immediate relief predicted.
"It only takes a
cigarette or a match and this stuff will explode,"
said Fred Burns, owner of Burns Brothers Ranch RV Resort in Fountain
Green, which was nearby but not affected.
The fire was burning
toward the tiny community of Indianola, and residents in at least two
dozen homes were advised to be ready to leave.
The wildfire
began Thursday in a private campground in Salt Creek Canyon, 85 miles
south of Salt Lake City. The campground was not a total loss, although
a motel on site and some vehicles and trailers were burned, the U.S.
Forest Service said.
Campgrounds and cabins along a 32-mile
scenic road in the Uinta National Forest were evacuated overnight, but
a portion reopened Friday. Eighteen Boy Scouts and two hikers had to be
rescued by helicopter Thursday from Nephi Canyon.
Emergency calls show that
a motorist may have sparked the fire by
riding on the rim of a flat tire on a highway that is an access route
to the forest, Forest Service spokeswoman Loyal Clark said.
Temperatures hit 100
degrees Friday in many spots. The National Weather
Service has already recorded 10 days of 100 degrees or higher in Salt
Lake City. The summer average is five days.
Precipitation is
more than 4.5 inches below normal. The Salt Lake area went 41 days
without any measurable rain before a hundredth of an inch fell Tuesday.
The nation's firefighting
preparedness has moved to its highest level
this week because of bone-dry conditions in the West and the number of
fires.
Almost half the 72 large
fires burning nationally are in
Nevada and Idaho. Two tiny towns on the states' shared border were
evacuated Thursday.
The 40 or so residents of
Jarbidge, Nevada,
were ordered to leave because of fears that a nearby 195-square-mile
fire could spill into the steep, narrow canyon where the town is
located.
A 280-square-mile
wildfire crept within a mile of
Murphy Hot Springs, Idaho, on Friday, but so far none of the town's 50
homes has burned, fire managers said.
Firefighters started
sprinklers in the yards nearest the fire, said Brock Astle of the U.S.
Bureau of Land Management. The mandatory evacuation order imposed
Thursday won't be lifted until at least Friday evening, the sheriff's
office said.
Regular work schedules
resumed Friday at the Idaho
National Laboratory, where more than 700 workers had been asked to stay
home the previous day because of a wildfire. No facilities at the
nuclear research site were in danger.
More Montana residents
were told to evacuate Friday as a blaze nearly doubled in size to 570
acres north of Wolf Creek. Residents of nearly 60 homes had been asked
to leave earlier in the week, but firefighting officials said up to 100
buildings were threatened Friday..."
This is really starting to get out of
hand.
- Heavy
rain floods Texas
KNIPPA, Texas (AP) --
"Storms dumped more than a foot of rain on
parts of Texas on Saturday, stranding more than 170 passengers on an
Amtrak train for hours and forcing rescue crews elsewhere to pull at
least 50 people to safety.
Water covering the tracks
in Knippa, about 75 miles west of San
Antonio, stopped a westbound Amtrak train carrying 176 passengers
around 9 a.m. CDT (10 a.m. ET).
Buses were arrived around
7:30
p.m. to take passengers to El Paso. There they were to board another
train, said Amtrak spokeswoman Vernae Graham.
The train never lost power, but buses
could not reach it earlier because of flooded roads, Graham said.
No serious injuries were
reported in Texas' latest round of flooding, which closed many roads
and forced evacuations.
In southern Guadalupe
County overnight, a possible tornado damaged four
businesses and at least one house, said Sheriff's Department Cpl. John
Batey.
Parts of northern Uvalde
and Medina counties got as much
as 17 inches of rain between 10 p.m. Friday and 10 a.m. Saturday, said
Pat McDonald, a National Weather Service forecaster.
Seco Creek overflowed,
inundating the town of D'Hanis near San
Antonio, said Medina County Sheriff Randy Brown. Many businesses were
flooded with 3 to 4 feet of water.
Boats, firetrucks and
helicopters rescued stranded residents, but only one minor injury was
reported, Brown said. A shelter was opened in nearby Hondo, but Brown
said he didn't know how many residents would stay there.
"The water is going down.
Things are getting better," Brown said.
In Bexar County, which
contains San Antonio, rescuers had responded to
more than two dozen calls for high-water rescue by Saturday afternoon,
officials said. Campgrounds along the Medina River in Bandera County
were being evacuated.
In San Antonio, there were 20 to 30 road
closures, said Orlando Hernandez, county emergency management
coordinator..."
This
Summer is shaping up to be very, very unpredictable and unstable with
the weather patterns.
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