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News Archives, June 24-30, 2007




Saturday, June 30th, 2007




Oil rises $71 on drop in U.S. fuel stocks


     NEW YORK (Reuters) - "Oil prices rose above $71 a barrel on Friday as investors focused on falling gasoline and crude stocks in key regions of the United States, the world's top consumer.

      London Brent crude (LCOc1: Quote, Profile, Research) settled up 89 cents at $71.41 a barrel. U.S. crude oil (CLC1: Quote, Profile, Research) settled $1.11 at $70.68, the highest settlement since August 25.

      Oil gained following a U.S. government report Wednesday that showed gasoline stocks off 700,000 barrels last week. Crude inventories at Cushing, Oklahoma, the delivery point for the U.S. crude benchmark, dropped 1.4 million barrels.

      "The inventory numbers are giving the pattern for the rest of the week," said Kevin Blemkin, an oil broker at Man Financial.

      While U.S. crude stocks nationwide rose by 1.6 million barrels to a nine-year high, the drop at Cushing has supported gains for U.S. crude prices and helped narrow their discount to Brent to below $1 a barrel..."



More:

Wall Stree drops on credit concerns

Bear Stearns shakes up asset management unit

Fearing risk, debt investors demand more protection

Jobs, subprime mess to rule July 4th week


      It's getting quite interesting to see all of this "wealth" and "prosperity" seemingly unravel.






- Two explosive-laden cars in London linked

Anti-terror chief: "These vehicles are clearly linked"
• Two vehicles loaded with fuel and nails safely removed
• Police hunt driver who abandoned explosives-packed car outside nightclub
• Bomb could have resulted in serious loss of life, anti-terror chief says

      LONDON, England (CNN) -- "A vehicle containing fuel, gas canisters and nails found early Friday near Trafalgar Square is "clearly linked" to another explosives-packed car found outside a nightclub near Piccadilly Circus, Metropolitan Police said.

      A "considerable" amount of fuel and gas canisters, along with a "substantial quantity of nails," was found in the blue Mercedes 280E, said Peter Clarke, Metropolitan Police deputy assistant commissioner.

      He called the discovery of the second bomb "troubling," but urged the public to remain vigilant and report suspicious behavior to authorities.

      The second vehicle was ticketed about 2:30 a.m. Friday (9:30 p.m. Thursday ET), Clarke said. It was near Trafalgar Square, roughly a half-mile from where the first vehicle -- also a Mercedes -- had been found about an hour earlier.

      About 3:30 a.m., Clarke said, the Mercedes was taken to an impound lot in Hyde Park. Security sources earlier told CNN that workers who towed it thought the car smelled of gasoline, and became suspicious because of the reports that gasoline was among the explosive materials found in the first vehicle.

      Clarke said the second device, like the first, was "potentially viable" but was rendered safe by police explosives officers.

      "These vehicles are clearly linked," he said.

      The first car, a silver Mercedes-Benz sedan, was discovered about 1:30 a.m. when an ambulance crew called to treat an ill person noticed what appeared to be smoke inside the car and notified authorities, London police said.

      The car was parked in front of the Tiger Tiger club, and the discovery prompted the closing of several streets until the vehicle was hauled off nine hours later..."


    
      And this new PM has only been in power for a few weeks?  If that!





Flood-hit areas on weather alert

     United Kingdom (BBC) - "Flood-hit communities are being warned to brace themselves for more torrential rain over the weekend.

       The Met Office has issued a severe weather warning for large areas of England and Wales, with up to 50mm (2in) of rain forecast in some places.

       A national flood support centre has been set up in Worcester to respond to further outbreaks of severe weather.

       Widespread flooding in England earlier this week killed four people and forced thousands from their homes.

Extra resources

       Simon Hughes, flood defence manager for the Environment Agency, told BBC Radio Five Live that more flooding was expected.

       "With the land being just so saturated, more rain's going to mean more flooding," he said.

       "We're really urging people to be prepared - find out if they're in a place that may flood, and take some simple steps now to prepare themselves if it does flood.".."

  

      Even the U.K. can't get away from this rash of flooding.







Friday, June 29th, 2007




BIS warns of Great Depression dangers from credit spree


     London (The Telegraph) - "The Bank for International Settlements, the world's most prestigious financial body, has warned that years of loose monetary policy has fuelled a dangerous credit bubble, leaving the global economy more vulnerable to another 1930s-style slump than generally understood.
    
      The BIS said China may have repeated the disastrous errors made by Japan in the 1980s

      "Virtually nobody foresaw the Great Depression of the 1930s, or the crises which affected Japan and southeast Asia in the early and late 1990s. In fact, each downturn was preceded by a period of non-inflationary growth exuberant enough to lead many commentators to suggest that a 'new era' had arrived", said the bank.

      The BIS, the ultimate bank of central bankers, pointed to a confluence a worrying signs, citing mass issuance of new-fangled credit instruments, soaring levels of household debt, extreme appetite for risk shown by investors, and entrenched imbalances in the world currency system.

      "Behind each set of concerns lurks the common factor of highly accommodating financial conditions. Tail events affecting the global economy might at some point have much higher costs than is commonly supposed," it said.

      The BIS said China may have repeated the disastrous errors made by Japan in the 1980s when Tokyo let rip with excess liquidity.

      "The Chinese economy seems to be demonstrating very similar, disquieting symptoms," it said, citing ballooning credit, an asset boom, and "massive investments" in heavy industry.

      Some 40pc of China's state-owned enterprises are loss-making, exposing the banking system to likely stress in a downturn.

      It said China's growth was "unstable, unbalanced, uncoordinated and unsustainable", borrowing a line from Chinese premier Wen Jiabao

      In a thinly-veiled rebuke to the US Federal Reserve, the BIS said central banks were starting to doubt the wisdom of letting asset bubbles build up on the assumption that they could safely be "cleaned up" afterwards - which was more or less the strategy pursued by former Fed chief Alan Greenspan after the dotcom bust.

      It said this approach had failed in the US in 1930 and in Japan in 1991 because excess debt and investment built up in the boom years had suffocating effects.

      While cutting interest rates in such a crisis may help, it has the effect of transferring wealth from creditors to debtors and "sowing the seeds for more serious problems further ahead."

      The bank said it was far from clear whether the US would be able to shrug off the consequences of its latest imbalances, citing a current account deficit running at 6.5pc of GDP, a rise in US external liabilities by over $4 trillion from 2001 to 2005, and an unpredented drop in the savings rate. "The dollar clearly remains vulnerable to a sudden loss of private sector confidence," it said.

      The BIS said last year's record issuance of $470bn in collateralized debt obligations (CDO), and a further $524bn in "synthetic" CDOs had effectively opened the lending taps even further. "Mortgage credit has become more available and on easier terms to borrowers almost everywhere. Only in recent months has the downside become more apparent," it said.

      CDO's are bond-like packages of mortgages and other forms of debt. The BIS said banks transfer the exposure to buyers of the securities, giving them little incentive to assess risk or carry out due diligence.

      Mergers and takeovers reached $4.1 trillion worldwide last year.

      Leveraged buy-outs touched $753bn, with an average debt/cash flow ratio hitting a record 5:4.

      "Sooner or later the credit cycle will turn and default rates will begin to rise," said the bank.

      "The levels of leverage employed in private equity transactions have raised questions about their longer-term sustainability. The strategy depends on the availability of cheap funding," it said.

      That may not last much longer..."


More:

Banks 'set to call in a swathe of loans'


      Financial Pucker Factor.  Very interesting to see the suits squirm like this.






- Russians test ballistic missle


      LONDON (Reuters) - "Russia has successfully tested a new, sea-based ballistic missile from a nuclear submarine, officials have said.

       The weapon, capable of breaching anti-missile defence systems, flew almost the whole length of the country.

       US plans to build a missile defence shield in Europe have angered Russia, which sees the proposal as a challenge to its influence in the region.

       The Russian test comes as President Vladimir Putin heads for the US to meet President George W Bush on Sunday.

'Key component'

       The Bulava missile was launched from the White Sea off Russia's north-west coast.

       The intercontinental missile hit its target on the Pacific Ocean peninsula of Kamchatka.

       Three earlier tests of the weapon in recent years had failed.

       The Bulava is designed to have a range of 10,000km (6,200 miles) and carry six individually targeted nuclear warheads.

       Russian President Vladimir Putin has described the missile as a key component of Moscow's future nuclear forces, saying it can penetrate any prospective missile defence system..."


    
      Cold War II, I 'tells' ya!





Flood-Ravaged Texas gets more rain after storms claim 11 lives


     Texas (Fox) - "MARBLE FALLS, Texas —  More rain fell Thursday in flood-weary parts of Texas, where evacuations were under way and residents were bracing for even more of the constant downpours that have killed 11 people in recent days.

      Officials reported calls for dozens of rescues in San Antonio, and hundreds of people were being ordered to leave their homes near the bloated Brazos River in North Texas.

      Lt. Gov. David Dewhurst, acting as governor while Gov. Rick Perry is out of the country, surveyed damage Thursday in the lakeside community of Marble Falls, which was drenched by as much as 18 inches of rain early Wednesday. No one was killed, but there were 32 water rescues and widespread damage..."

  

      This is ugly.  I hope those people can find a dry place and a warm bed through all of this.







Thursday, June 28th, 2007




Rain floods central Texas, halts some rescues


• 18+ inches of rain fall near Austin, EMS official says
• Heavy rain stops some helicopter rescue attempts
• Oklahoma City beats 70-year record for rainy days


     MARBLE FALLS, Texas (AP) -- "Storms dumped up to 18 inches of rain on parts of central Texas, flooding several towns and stranding dozens of people on rooftops, cars and in trees Wednesday.

      No fatalities were immediately reported in the latest in a series of storms blamed for at least 11 deaths in the past week and a half. The downpour and winds were so treacherous early Wednesday that helicopters were forced to abruptly halt efforts to rescue people from rooftops.

      The rain was heaviest in the Marble Falls area, about 40 miles northwest of Austin in the Texas Hill Country, where Mayor Raymond Whitman said there were 32 high-water rescues.

      Much of the water had receded by Wednesday afternoon, but city officials expected several more inches of rain over the next 24 hours.

      "The ground is fully saturated ... it could be severe," Whitman said. "If people do not pay attention and move to high ground, it is very possible that there will be fatalities."

      Parts of Oklahoma also were soaked Wednesday, with rain falling on Oklahoma City for the 15th consecutive day, breaking a 70-year-old record. Flooding closed some roads in central and northeastern Oklahoma..."




      Yikes, maybe installing a small row-boat and landing on your roof isn't such a crazy idea anymore...






- Oil jumps as U.S. fuel inventories fall


     LONDON (Reuters) - "Oil rose sharply on Wednesday after a U.S. government report showed a surprise drop in fuel inventories in the world's top consumer, renewing concern about supply in the midst of peak summer driving demand.

      U.S. stockpiles of gasoline and distillates dropped unexpectedly last week as a slump in imports countered an increase in production from domestic refineries, the report showed.

      "This is a bullish report, but it is even more bullish given the fact that many were looking for product inventories to move the other way," said Phil Flynn, analyst Alaron Trading in Chicago.

      London Brent crude, currently seen as a better indicator of the global market than U.S. oil, was up 68 cents at $70.85 by 1610 GMT, after falling $1.19 on Tuesday. U.S. crude was up $1.06 at $68.83.

      U.S. crude oil inventories rose slightly more than expected, keeping them at a fresh nine-year high, according to the report from the Energy Information Administration..."


    
      Mad Max was a great movie.  If we had to guage it now, he'd probably be "Somewhat Annoyed Max"...  I digress.





UN issues desertification warning

     Africa (BBC) - "Tens of millions of people could be driven from their homes by encroaching deserts, particularly in sub-Saharan Africa and Central Asia, a report says.

       The study by the United Nations University suggests climate change is making desertification "the greatest environmental challenge of our times".

       If action is not taken, the report warns that some 50 million people could be displaced within the next 10 years.

       The study was produced by more than 200 experts from 25 countries.

Scarce resources

       This report does not pull any punches - desertification is an environmental crisis of global proportions, it says, and one third of the Earth's population are potential victims of its creeping effect..."

  

      Plant some trees now!







Wednesday, June 27th, 2007




Bear Stearns taps managers to save hedge fund


     NEW YORK (Reuters) - "Bear Stearns Asset Management CEO Richard Marin is taking a stronger role in managing its two troubled hedge funds and tapped mortgage unit head Thomas Marano to save one of the funds, two sources familiar with the decision said.

      Marin appointed Marano last week to help with the funds managed by Ralph R. Cioffi, who retains his current role as portfolio manager for both funds, said one source.

      Company spokesman Russell Sherman declined to comment.

      Bear Stearns Cos. Inc. (BSC.N: Quote, Profile, Research) said on Tuesday it does not plan to bail out the High-Grade Structured Credit Strategies Enhanced Leverage Fund, the second of two struggling hedge funds.

      Instead it will provide $1.6 billion of financing to save its High-Grade Structured Credit Strategies Fund. Days earlier the bank had said it would provide up to $3.2 billion in financing.

      Marano is a longtime Bear Stearns banker who joined the firm in the 1980s and rose through the ranks to become head of the company's mortgage and asset-backed securities business.

MARKETS

      Stocks fell and Treasuries edged higher late on Tuesday on concern that problems stemming from defaults by less-creditworthy mortgage holders could reverberate through the markets.

      Bill Gross, manager of the largest bond fund in the world, PIMCO, said the subprime crisis was not isolated and would eventually take a toll on the U.S. economy..."


More:

China poised to set up $200 bln investment fund


      "...all the King's horses, and all the King's men, they couldn't put Humpty together again."






NATO urges calm in Russia dispute


     Moscow (BBC)  —  "Russia and the West should tone down their rhetoric in their bitter disputes over defence, Kosovo and other issues, Nato's secretary general has said.

       "There is no reason to speak with megaphones," Jaap de Hoop Scheffer told reporters after talks in Moscow.

       Russian President Vladimir Putin has threatened to point missiles at Europe if the US stations parts of a new missile shield near Russia's borders.

      Moscow also opposes a Western-backed plan for independence in Kosovo.

       Mr de Hoop Scheffer was in Moscow to mark the fifth anniversary of the Nato-Russia Council.

       "It is advisable to lower the volume of public comments on both sides," he said after talks with President Putin.

       "Given our starting point as Cold War adversaries, the task of building a genuine Russia-Nato partnership has never been an easy one.".."


    
      Old grudges die hard.





Alcohol, Feces, Carcasses Fuel "Green" Vehicles in Sweden

     Linköaping, Sweden (National Geographic) - "In a quest to wean itself off oil, Sweden is turning to an unusual alternative fuel: smuggled alcohol.

      Last year, the Swedish government confiscated almost 200,000 gallons (more than 700,000 liters) of alcohol that was illegally brought into the country.

      It used to be standard procedure for customs officials to pour the stuff down the drain.

      Now the beer, wine, and spirits are instead converted into biofuel—which helps power thousands of cars, buses, taxis, garbage trucks, and even a train.

      "This alcohol, which used to go to waste, is now turned into something that's positive for the environment," said Ingrid Jarlebrink of Tullverket, the Swedish Customs agency based in Malmö, Sweden.

      Indeed, recycling alcohol is just one of a number of alternative transport fuels in use in Sweden.

      (See related: " Here's the Scoop: San Francisco to Turn Dog Poop Into Biofuel" [March 21, 2006].)

      More than one-quarter of all the energy consumed in Sweden in 2004 came from renewable sources—more than four times as much as the European Union average of 6 percent. In the capital, Stockholm, one-quarter of city buses run on ethanol or biogas.

       In 2006 the Swedish government pledged to become the world's first oil-free country by 2020...

       ...the seized alcohol—along with other fuel sources, such as animal remains from slaughterhouses and human waste—is heated and put into anaerobic digesters. The organic materials are broken down, producing the biogas.

      Almost 250 million cubic feet (7 million cubic meters) of clean-burning biogas is produced a year.

      In Linköaping, a city of 140,000, biogas makes up 5 to 6 percent of transportation fuel use, and all of its public buses run on the alternative fuel.

      For every liter of gasoline that is burned, 2.5 kilograms of carbon dioxide is produced, said Carl Lillehöök, managing director of Swedish Biogas.

      "By replacing 5 million liters (1.3 million gallons) of gasoline with 5 million cubic meters (176 million cubic feet) of biogas, we can save 12,000 metric tons of carbon dioxide in Linköaping alone," he said..."

  

      Well, it oughtta smell pretty bad, but it's a start.







Tuesday, June 26th, 2007




Subprime mortgage worries drive stocks down


      NEW YORK (Reuters) - "U.S. stocks closed lower on Monday as growing concerns about the subprime mortgage market dragged down shares of Bear Stearns Cos. (BSC.N: Quote, Profile, Research) and Goldman Sachs Group (GS.N: Quote, Profile, Research).

      Shares of Bear Stearns Cos. (BSC.N: Quote, Profile, Research), which last week bailed out a hedge fund it manages that is heavily invested in subprime mortgages, dropped more than 3 percent after a Merrill Lynch & Co. analyst said the brokerage may need to stump up more cash to rescue a second fund.

      Shares of Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (GS.N: Quote, Profile, Research) fell 2.5 percent after Citigroup Inc. said Goldman's subprime mortgage bonds issued last year are being downgraded at the fastest rate of any issuer.

      "There are still a lot of potential concerns with fallouts from the subprime mortgage market," said Michael James, senior equity trader at Wedbush Morgan Securities in Los Angeles. "Broker stocks, with the exception of Morgan Stanley, have been pretty weak all day."

      The Dow Jones industrial average (.DJI: Quote, Profile, Research) was down 8.21 points, or 0.06 percent, at 13,352.05. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index (.SPX: Quote, Profile, Research) was down 4.82 points, or 0.32 percent, at 1,497.74. The Nasdaq Composite Index (.IXIC: Quote, Profile, Research) was down 11.88 points, or 0.46 percent, at 2,577.08.

      Earlier in the session a drop in oil prices helped stocks as it eased inflation concerns, but crude futures ended little changed, erasing the benefit to stocks..."


More:

Subprime, rates to delay home rebound

Goldman-issued subprime bonds lead downgrades: Citi

Bear may have to bail out second fund: analyst

Existing home sales down again in May


      This plus an "Emergency Meeting" by the FRB Chairman, Bernanke and those of his counterparts in the U.K and Europe have a lot of financial insiders wringing their hands and sweating bullets.  Whatever the outcome, this will affect everyone.






Hundreds flee over dam burst fear


     Yorkshire, U.K. (BBC)  —  "Hundreds of people were told to flee their homes amid fears a reservoir dam was set to crumble after torrential rain brought chaos to South Yorkshire.

       Two people were killed in Sheffield as floods raged through the city.

       A man was swept away as he got out of his car and police hunting a missing teenager recovered a body from a swollen river.

       But hours later more disaster loomed as a dam holding back the Ulley reservoir threatened to break.

       About 100 homes in the areas of Catcliffe, Whiston and Canklow were being cleared by police officers after engineers signalled a warning over the dam wall.

       The residents were taken to the safety of Dinnington Comprehensive School as a precaution..."


    
      Note to self: Don't live in the shadow of a big dam/resovior.





Student loses ruling over "Bong Hits 4 Jesus"


     WASHINGTON (Reuters) - "A divided Supreme Court on Monday curtailed free-speech rights for students, ruling against a teenager who unfurled a banner saying "Bong Hits 4 Jesus" because the message could be interpreted as promoting drug use.

      In its first major decision on student free-speech rights in nearly 20 years, the high court's conservative majority ruled that a high school principal did not violate the student's rights by confiscating the banner and suspending him.

      The decision marked a continuing shift to the right by the court since President George W. Bush appointed Chief Justice John Roberts and Justice Samuel Alito. The court has issued a series of narrow 5-4 decisions on divisive social issues like abortion and the death penalty.

      In another decision on Monday by the same 5-4 vote, the court ruled taxpayers cannot challenge Bush's use of government funds to finance social programs operated by religious groups..."

  

      As much as I advise against the smoking of weed, the man has a right to free speech.  I could see if he was doing this on school property, but he wasn't.  He was standing on the street-side during a school-sponsored Torch Relay.

      His sign was confiscated by the school and he was suspended.  I am far more defensive of someone's Constitutional Rights as I am ready to chastise someone for illegal drug use/promotion.







Monday, June 25th, 2007




Superbugs more widespread than previously thought


-Drug-resistant staph infects 46 out 1,000 hospital patients, study shows


      ATLANTA (MSNBC) - "A dangerous drug-resistant staph germ may be infecting hospital patients at about 10 times the rate health officials had previously estimated, according to a new comprehensive study.

      At least 30,000 U.S. hospital patients may have the superbug at any given time, according to a survey released Monday by the Association for Professionals in Infection Control and Epidemiology.

      Some federal health officials said they had not seen the study and could not comment on its methodology or its prevalence. But they welcomed added attention to the problem.

      “This is a welcome piece of information that emphasizes that this is a huge problem in health-care facilities, and more needs to done to prevent it,” said Dr. John Jernigan, an epidemiologist with the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

      At issue is a superbug known as Methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus, which cannot be tamed by certain common antibiotics. It is associated with sometimes-horrific skin infections, but it also causes blood infections, pneumonia and other illnesses.

      The potentially fatal germ, which is spread by touch, typically thrives in health-care settings where people have open wounds. But in recent years, “community-associated” outbreaks have occurred among prisoners, children and athletes, with the germ spreading through skin contact or shared items such as towels.

      Past studies have looked at how common the superbug is in specific patient groups, such as emergency-room patients with skin infections in 11 U.S. cities, dialysis patients or those admitted to intensive care units in a sample of a few hundred teaching hospitals.

      46 out of 1,000 patients infected

      It’s difficult to compare prevalence estimates from the different studies, experts said, but the new study suggests the superbug is eight to 11 times more common than some other studies have concluded.

      The new study was different in that it sampled a larger and more diverse set of health-care facilities. It also was more recent than other studies, and it counted cases in which the bacterium was merely present in a patient and not necessarily causing disease.

       The infection control professionals’ association sent surveys to its more than 11,000 members and asked them to pick one day from Oct. 1 to Nov. 10, 2006, to count cases of the infection. They were to turn in the number of all the patients in their health care facilities who were identified through test results as infected or colonized with the superbug.

      The final results represented 1,237 hospitals and nursing homes — or roughly 21 percent of U.S. inpatient health-care facilities, association officials said..."



      These bugs have been living on a diet of over-prescribed, underpowered anti-biotics and having your lymphocites for dessert.






Rev. Jesse Jackson Arrested at Gun Shop Protest


     CHICAGO (Fox)  —  "The Rev. Jesse Jackson was arrested Saturday at a demonstration outside a south suburban gun shop and charged with one count of criminal trespass to property.

      Jackson was arrested when he refused to move away from the entrance to Chuck's Gun Shop in Riverdale, police said. He has protested with other community activists outside the shop in recent weeks after a 16-year-old honor student was gunned down on a city bus.

      Police said the shooting was gang-related but the teen was not the intended target.

      Jackson, who says the gun shop's proximity to Chicago provides gang members and criminals easy access to firearms, has used the protests to call for stricter gun laws.

      The Rev. Michael Pfleger, a Catholic priest who oversees a South Side congregation, also was arrested and charged with Jackson.

      A message seeking comment from the gun shop was not immediately returned Saturday afternoon.

      Two teens have been charged as adults with taking part in the May shooting of Blair Holt, an honor student at Julian High School..."


    
      Little does Jesse Jackson realize that in order to legally sell firearms in the State of IL (and all states), one needs an FFL (Federal Firearms License).  Those who have these federally ordained permits to sell, must comply with the 20,000 or so gun laws that are currently on the books in the U.S.

      Those who wish to purchase a firearm in the state of IL, must have an F.O.I.D. (Firearm Owners Identification) and fill out a form 4473 (which is a record of purchase and screening).  The purchaser than must pass a criminal and mentally deficiency background check and wait the cursory 1 day waiting period (for a long firearm) or 3 day waiting period (for a handgun).

       Now, raise your hands if you think that A.) Gang-bangers are going to jump through all of those hoops?  Now raise your hands if you think that B.) They're just going to buy their guns from black-market dealers; whos inventory consists mostly of stolen and illegally smuggled (across the U.S./Mexico Bordner) into the States? 

       I thought so, Answer B.

       Jesse Jackson get's my "Knee-jerk reaction, wrong sollution posturing, Compassion Pimp"  Award of the week.





Fire at California's Lake Tahoe destroys 50 homes


     SOUTH LAKE TAHOE, California (Reuters) - "More than 50 homes in Lake Tahoe went up in flames on Sunday as a fast-moving forest fire hit this resort community, prompting U.S. Forest Service officials to order residents out.

      Another 500 structures were threatened by the fire, which has consumed more than 500 acres of private and federal land, but no one has been injured, said South Lake Tahoe Police Lt. Martin Hale.

      The cause of the blaze, first reported at about 2 p.m., was unknown, said Kit Bailey of the Forest Service. He added however that it was likely caused by humans because the weather was clear.

      Winds of 30 mph with gusts of 45 mph made it difficult for the 350 to 400 firefighters to get a handle on the fire, Bailey said. Chunks of ash dropped miles from the fire..."

  

      Drought is tough, eh?







Sunday, June 24th, 2007




Bond yields encroach on economy's pain threshold


     NEW YORK (Reuters) - "A sustained push above 5 percent on the yield of the benchmark 10-year Treasury note could roil markets, deepen housing woes and slow the U.S. economy.

      At first glance, a 5 percent handle should not trouble consumers. It's still a far cry from the 10-year Treasury note's all time yield peak of 15.84 percent in September 1981, according to Global Financial Data. Then, inflation was rampant, the Federal Reserve was hiking interest rates and the U.S. economy succumbed to recession.

      However, current U.S. consumer and corporate borrowing at low interest rates after a historic rate cutting cycle leaves debtors vulnerable to even a modest rise of bond yields. A rise to 5.5 percent of the 10-year yield would test the economy's current pain threshold, strategists say.

      "The housing market has been totally dependent on cheap money," said Mary Ann Hurley, senior Treasuries trader in Seattle at brokerage D.A Davidson.

      The Fed axed interest rates to a four-decade low of 1 percent in June 2003, helping to accelerate an unprecedented boom in house prices, which peaked around 2005. Now, homeowners who took out adjustable-rate mortgages at lower rates are at the mercy of rising yields, while all homeowners could lose out if home prices continue to fall.

      "A 10-year yield above 5 percent is really going to impact housing and will hurt people who have to refinance from their ARMs because rates are dramatically higher," Hurley said.

      A rise of the 10-year to 5.5 percent would push up the 30-year fixed rate mortgage to about 7.15 percent.

      "That would price a lot of folks out" and "would slow the recovery of the housing market," says Douglas Duncan, the Mortgage Bankers Association's chief economist.

      A 7.15 percent, 30-year fixed mortgage rate, if sustained for a year, would cut combined U.S. new and existing home sales by 310,000 units to 6.53 million, says Mark Zandi, chief economist with Moody's Economy.com in West Chester, Pennsylvania. Instead of existing home prices falling nearly 5 percent over the next year -- Zandi's current forecast -- they would then fall 6 percent, he predicts..."


More:

Iran still reducing dollar share in reserves

"
BASEL, Switzerland (Reuters) - Iran is still reducing the share of dollars in its foreign exchange reserves as it sees no need to hold the U.S. currency, the country's central bank vice-governor told Reuters on Saturday.

Jafar Mojarrad also said the world's central bank governors agree that politics should not influence the global financial system, and that this view is shared by the U.S. Federal Reserve..."


Fed, Subprime jitters on tap

"
NEW YORK (Reuters) - One of Wall Street's oldest maxims will be put to the test next week: markets don't hit bottom on a Friday.

Stocks closed out their worst week in more than three months on fears that trouble at two Bear Stearns hedge funds may signal bigger problems ahead for credit markets..."

Global stocks weaken on U.S. credit concerns

"
NEW YORK (Reuters) - Most major global equity indexes fell and safe-haven Treasuries rose on Friday as concerns lingered before the weekend that troubles in U.S. credit markets might spread.

U.S. stocks posted their biggest weekly decline in three months while investors fled to safe-haven U.S. government debt amid market uncertainty, snapping a six-week string of gains in the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield..."


Bear Stearns Staves Off Collapse of 2 Hedge Funds

"New York (NY Times) - The high-stakes game of brinksmanship began early yesterday on Wall Street, and continued throughout the day. Bankers traded telephone calls, frenetically negotiating the fate of two hedge funds.

All wanted to avoid a fire sale in the troubled mortgage-securities market, but at the same time, not get stuck with an exploding liability that could result in steep losses. The day ended with deals that appeared to have forestalled a meltdown. But questions remained about how successful they were and whether they had merely delayed the inevitable..."

Bear Stearns bails out hedge fund

"NEW YORK (Reuters) - Bear Stearns Cos. Inc. (BSC.N: Quote, Profile, Research) on Friday said it would provide up to $3.2 billion in financing for a struggling hedge fund it manages, raising concern about other funds that invested in bonds linked to subprime mortgages.

The biggest bailout since Wall Street's 1998 rescue of Long-Term Capital Management signaled that the funds' main investments -- a type of bond known as a collateralized debt obligation (CDO) -- may be riskier than previously reckoned..."


China sells off more US T-bonds

"Bieging (chinadaily.com) - China sold more US treasury bonds in April than any time in at least seven years, a signal that the nation may be diversifying the world's largest foreign-exchange reserves, Shanghai Securities News reported today.

Statistics from the US Treasury Department show that China sold a net US$5.8 billion of T-bonds, the first drop in holdings since October 2005. Japan remains the largest holder of US T-bonds, with its holdings reaching US$614.8 billion in April, according to the statistics..."


U.S. Economy: Housing Starts Drop; Slump May Persist

"June 19 (Bloomberg) -- Home starts in the U.S. fell for the first time in four months in May as interest rates rose, suggesting the worst housing recession in 16 years will persist.

Builders broke ground on new houses at an annual rate of 1.474 million, down 2.1 percent from the prior month, the Commerce Department said today in Washington. Building permits increased 3 percent to 1.501 million..."


Gas at $6 per gallon?  Get ready...

"Gas consumers can expect to pay between $3.16 and $3.79 a gallon for gas in 2008 after adding in the estimated impact of the Senate energy bill. By 2016, all states can expect gas prices in excess of $6. As a result of S. 1419, consumers would spend an average of $1445 more per year on gasoline in 2016 than in 2008..."


      A lot of disconcerting stuff is going down at the same time.  Get your Plan up to snuff; trust me now and thank me later.






100-foot deep Andes Lake disappears


• Lake disappeared between March and May
• Ice chunks that floated on lake now lie on rocks
• Scientists say no earthquakes that could have caused cracks in lake bottom


     SANTIAGO, Chile (AP) -- "A five-acre glacial lake in Chile's southern Andes has disappeared -- and scientists want to know why.

      Park rangers at Bernardo O'Higgins National Park said they found a 100-feet-deep crater in late May where the lake had been in March. Several large pieces of ice that used to float atop the water also were spotted.

      "The lake had simply disappeared," Juan Jose Romero, head of Chile's National Forest Service in the southernmost region of Magallanes, said Wednesday. "No one knows what happened."

      A group of geologists and other experts will be sent to the area 1,250 miles southeast of Santiago in the next few days to investigate, Romero said.

      One theory is the water disappeared through cracks in the lake bottom into underground fissures. But experts do not know why the cracks would have appeared because there have been no earthquakes reported in the area recently, Romero said.

      A river that flowed out of the lake was reduced to a trickle..."


    
      Very interesting; I want to know more about this new phenominon.    





Historic wildfire still smolders

• Fire in Georgia and Florida is biggest in Southeast since 1898
• It's stopped growing, is more than 90 percent contained
• Rain from Tropical Storm Barry on June 2 helped put it out
• Firefighters say if weather gets too dry, fire could flare up again


     WAYCROSS, Georgia (AP) -- "Ernest Sweat paused by the charred pine trunk he found burning like a match two months ago and wondered -- could he have stopped the largest Southeastern wildfire in more than a century?

      Sweat was driving home April 16 when he spotted smoke along the dirt road to his tobacco farm. Power lines were snapped by fallen pines and flames climbed surrounding trees. He dashed home to call the fire department, but the blaze had already spread.

      It would become the Southeast's biggest wildfire since 1898, according to the National Interagency Fire Center.

      "If I could have just been here a little bit earlier, before it got into those roots, I could've outed it," he said.

      Within a day, the wildfire burned a 9-mile path through rural timberland. A week later, the blaze had destroyed 18 homes and spread into the Okefenokee Swamp.

      After a month, it merged with a second fire, sparked by lightning, and raced through the swamp into northern Florida.

      Firefighters were unable to stop the blaze from spreading rapidly through trees, brush and grasses turned tinder-dry by severe drought in southeast Georgia..."

  

      Drought across an entire continent will do that with fire potential.








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