News
Archives, November 11-17, 2007
Saturday, November 17th, 2007
- The
dollar's decline: from symbol of hegemony to shunned currency
NEW YORK
(news.independent.co.uk) - "The decline of the dollar, symbol of US
global hegemony for the best
part of a century, may have become so entrenched that some experts now
fear it is irreversible.
After
months of huge and sustained turmoil on the money markets, lack of
confidence in the world's totemic currency has become so widespread
that an increasing number of international traders are transferring
their wealth to stronger currencies such as the euro, which recently
hit its highest level against the dollar.
"An American businessman
over here who is given the choice would
take anything but the dollar," David Buik of Cantor Index said
yesterday. "I would want to be paid in yen, and if not yen then the
euro or sterling."
Matthew Osborne, of
Armstrong International, added: "The majority
would say sterling. There are a few dealers in the City who may take
the view that they'll take dollars now, while they're cheap, and hold
on to them for 12 months.
"But the problem is so
serious that there are people who in July or
August might have been thinking, 'I'm paid in dollars, how annoying'
for whom it's now a question of, 'Do you have a job; do you have a
bonus?' "
The collapse of the
sub-prime mortgage market in the US, which is
fuelling the dollar unrest, has already brought down one British bank,
Northern Rock, and has forced others to declare vast losses. Yesterday,
just as it appeared that the dollar might have finally reached its
floor, there was another warning that the sub-prime crisis is going to
get worse. The US Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson, warned an
international business summit in South Africa: "The sub-prime market,
parts of it will get worse before it gets better." Huge numbers of US
homeowners are still cushioned by introductory interest rates set when
they took out loans in 2005 or 2006, he said. When these introductory
offers run out, their interest payments will increase, setting off
another wave of defaulting and repossessions. And the dollar is
enduring its rockiest spell in recent memory.
Kenneth Froot, a Harvard
university professor and former consultant
to the US Federal Reserve, warned yesterday: "Part of the depreciation
[of the dollar] is permanent. There is no doubt that the dollar must
sink against periphery currencies to reflect their increase in
competitiveness and productivity."
Professor Riordan Roett,
of Johns Hopkins University in Baltimore,
told Bloomberg News: "There is a loss of confidence in the dollar and
the US. It may only reflect the widespread dismay with the Bush
administration, but it is obvious that the next administration, of
either party, will have a steep uphill struggle." As well as reaching
its lowest level against the euro, which has been trading at more than
$1.47, the dollar has also fallen to its lowest level against the
Canadian dollar since 1950, sterling since 1981, and the Swiss franc
since 1995..."
More:
Liberty
Dollar office raided
Mint
Fears Losses From Penny Meltdown: Cindy Skrzycki
Heart
of Foreclosure Darkness: Every County in Southern California is now
Negative Year over Year
The
Bottom Line: Big names are starting to get jumpy.
- Oil
rises over $95 on weak dollar
NEW YORK (Reuters) - "Oil rose 1.8
percent to above $95 a barrel on
Friday as the dollar slipped and cold weather headed toward the giant
U.S. Northeast heating oil market.
Short covering ahead of
the expiration of December U.S. crude
futures also helped push prices higher, with oil settling up $1.67 at
$95.10 a barrel. London Brent crude for January rose $1.39 to $91.62 a
barrel.
Oil has slipped from an
all-time high of $98.62 a barrel struck last
week on the back of winter supply concerns, the falling dollar and
rising speculator investment.
"All the issues that got
there are still there," said Tom Bentz of BNP Paribas Commodity Futures
Inc.
The dollar broadly fell
on reports showing the biggest drop in U.S.
industrial production since January and poor foreign investment in U.S.
assets in September.
Prices fell on Thursday
after U.S. government data showed a surprise
2.8 million build in crude inventories last week, easing supply
concerns in the world's top consumer.
Demand for heating oil in the U.S. Northeast is expected to rise as
temperatures fall below normal, forecaster Meteorlogix said..."
The
Bottom Line: It's going to be a rough road ahead.
- Russia
rejects arms treaty
Moscow (hindustantimes.com) -
"Russia's
upper house of parliament voted unanimously to suspend a key
Cold War-era arms control treaty on Friday, in a move that experts say
reflects Moscow's growing anger over alleged Western moves toward
military supremacy in Europe.
The Federation Council, a
Kremlin-appointed body, said that on Dec.
13 Russia will cease compliance with the 1990 Conventional Forces in
Europe treaty, which fixed the numbers and geographical deployments of
armoured vehicles, combat planes, troops and artillery between the
then-Warsaw Pact and NATO across Europe.
Russia has complained for
years that the treaty became obsolete
after the Warsaw Pact collapsed and many of its former members joined
NATO, creating a vast superiority in all kinds of weapons for the
Western alliance.
"The current CFE Treaty
suits the United States and NATO because it
allows for the implementation NATO's strategy of eastward expansion
without any limits," Yury Baluyevsky, chief of the Russian armed forces
General Staff, told the Duma last week.
While Russia ratified the
treaty, most NATO states have yet to
do so. Some former Warsaw Pact countries, including the ex-Soviet
Baltic states, have been re-arming rapidly in recent years with
Western-made weapons that are now aimed against Russia..."
More:
USA
may introduce sanctions against Russia for its lucrative arms deals
The
Bottom Line: Tensions rising further.
Friday, November 16th, 2007
- Subprime's
paper trail proves to be an obstacle
NEW YORK
(Reuters) - "As banks work to clean up some of the subprime
mortgage mess, they are finding new obstacles in unraveling the massive
paper trail used to pool individual loans into mortgage-backed
securities.
A U.S. federal judge in
Ohio threw out 14 foreclosure proceedings brought on behalf of Deutsche
Bank AG (DBKGn.DE: Quote, Profile, Research)
National Trust Company last month, saying the Trust had not proved it
legally owned the mortgage loans when it filed the foreclosure
proceedings.
While some claim the
proceedings were thrown out due to messy
paperwork, others say the issue is widespread and could stall
proceedings throughout the country.
"The opinion from Ohio
hopefully will help stop some foreclosures in
their tracks," said April Charney, a legal aid attorney who represents
troubled homeowners in Jacksonville, Florida. "You can't file a lawsuit
in court saying you own something, when you don't actually own and hold
it on the date that you file."
In the opinion, Judge
Christopher Boyko said he ordered the
representative of the trust to produce an "assignment" showing it held
the rights, titles and interest in the mortgages it was trying to
foreclose.
But the trust was unable
to prove it legally owned the loans before
it started the foreclosure proceedings, so Boyko concluded the trust
did not have standing in the case, according to the opinion.
"The institutions seem to
adopt the attitude that since they have
been doing this for so long, unchallenged, this practice equates with
legal compliance," Boyko, wrote in the opinion, issued on Oct 31.
"Finally put to the test, their weak legal arguments compel the Court
to stop them at the gate."
Industry lawyers said the
assignment process can be costly when
multiplied over tens of thousands of loans pooled into a security, so
the legal paperwork transferring ownership from the original lender is
not typically filed until a loan gets into trouble.
"It's typically done as a matter of cost
efficiency, since for some
extremely high percentage of mortgages there will never be any
foreclosure activity, there's no legal need for the assignments to be
recorded until they need to be used," Deutsche Bank spokesman John
Gallagher said on Thursday..."
More:
New
era of defaults on horizon as CDO cuts mount
Shares
fall on U.S. worries
Fixing
foreclosure's ground zero
Foreclosures
Hit a Snag for Lenders
The
Bottom Line: Someone covered their tracks well and made
out like bandits.
- Gas
hitting record highs for holiday travel
WASHINGTON (AP)
-- "Gas prices near record highs at a time of
year when they typically decline will not deter drivers from hitting
the road this Thanksgiving, AAA said Thursday.
The travel agency expects a record 38.7
million Americans will
travel 50 miles or more from home over the five days beginning November
21. That is a 1.5 percent increase over last year. Roughly 80 percent
of those trips will be by car, and motorists will pay about 90 cents a
gallon more for gas than they did last year.
Guy Caruso, chief
of the Energy Department's statistical division, the Energy Information
Administration, predicted Wednesday that gasoline prices, now averaging
$3.11 a gallon nationwide, will rise another 10 cents by December.
A jump of 15 cents a
gallon from current levels, already well above
last year's average of $2.23, also would surpass May's all-time record
of $3.23 a gallon.
Gas prices
traditionally fall in the winter months as demand ebbs from summer
highs, but oil prices flirting with $100 a barrel and low fuel
stockpiles have reversed that trend this year. Still, demand for
gasoline over the four weeks ending November 9 was 0.6 percent higher
than a year earlier, averaging more than 9.3 million barrels a day, the
Energy Department said Thursday.
"This is the first time
that we
have seen gas prices tipping over $3 a gallon in November," Robert L.
Darbelnet, president and chief executive of AAA, said in a statement.
"But Thanksgiving is traditionally a time for family gatherings, and
higher gas will not discourage Americans from reconnecting with their
loved ones.".."
The
Bottom Line: BOHICA.
- Virulent
form of cold virus worries experts
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - "A new and
virulent strain of adenovirus,
which frequently causes the common cold, killed 10 people in parts of
the United States earlier this year and put dozens into hospitals, U.S.
health officials said on Thursday.
A U.S. Centers for
Disease Control and Prevention report detailed
cases of people ill in May of 2006 and from March to June of 2007 with
a strain of the virus called adenovirus 14 in New York, Oregon,
Washington state and Texas.
"Whether you're a healthy
young adult, an infant or an elderly
person, this virus can cause severe respiratory disease at any age,"
said John Su, who investigates infectious diseases for the CDC and
contributed to the report.
"What makes this
particular adenovirus a little different is that it
has the capability of making healthy young adults severely ill. And
that's unusual for an adenovirus, and that's why it's got our
attention," Su said in a telephone interview.
Two of the 10 people who
died from the new strain were infants, Su
said. The CDC report said about 140 people were sickened by the virus
and more than 50 hospitalized, including 24 admitted to intensive care
units.
One of those who died was
a 19-year-old female recruit at Lackland Air Force Base in Texas where
other cases were found.
"Adenoviruses are
notorious for causing illnesses, particularly in
military recruits," said Dr. Anthony Fauci, director of the U.S.
National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases.
A CDC
spokesman said there was no evidence the virus was currently causing
disease anywhere in the United States..."
The
Bottom Line: This isn't really that bad...yet.
Thursday, November 15th, 2007
- Gold
holds above $810 on dollar as eyes 28-year high
SINGAPORE (Reuters) - "Gold extended
gains on Thursday, buoyed by
bargain hunting, higher oil prices and a fall in the U.S. dollar
against the euro, and dealers expected buying to pick up after a
correction below $800 an ounce.
Spot gold rose to
$817.50/818.25 an ounce from $814.20/815.00 late
in New York on Wednesday, when it jumped 2 percent on a rebound in
crude oil and a lower dollar.
Japanese investors, who
helped pull gold up from its lowest level in
nearly two weeks at $790.80 on Tuesday, were still in the market, and
dealers said buying by U.S. investors on New York's COMEX also spilled
into the cash market.
"If gold continues to
stay above $800 in coming days, the market may
try to test $850. It seems to be very choppy for the time being," said
Ronald Leung, director of Lee Cheong Gold Dealers in Hong Kong.
"People are rushing to
buy a bit of gold after it comes back to $800
again. The next resistance may be $820 and $822," said Leung, adding
that speculation the U.S. Federal Reserve would slash interest rates
again in December also spurred buying.
Gold rallied to $845.40
on November 7, its highest level since
January 1980 when it hit a record high of $850, before investors booked
profits. Sliding oil and a wave of risk aversion that hit equity and
currencies also sparked sales in gold.
The most-active December
gold contract on the COMEX division of the
New York Mercantile Exchange gained $3.9 an ounce to $818.6 on
electronic trade after rising 2 percent in New York.
The key
gold futures contract for October 2008 delivery on the Tokyo
Commodity Exchange ended the morning session 44 yen per gram higher at
2,956 yen..."
More:
Credit
crisis claims Cerberus, United Rentals deal
U.S.
dollar to stay weak: World Bank Asia economist
US figures
point towards slowdown
Foreclosure
filings: No slowdown yet
Empty
Houses Home to Crime As Loans Fail
The
Bottom Line: Case and point.
- Pump
price to jump 20 cents next 2-3 weeks: government
WASHINGTON
(Reuters) - "U.S. consumers could pay record
gasoline prices for the upcoming Thanksgiving holiday with pump
costs expected to climb another 20 cents over the next two to
three weeks, the government's top energy forecaster warned on
Monday.
Guy Caruso, who heads the U.S. Energy
Information
Administration, said not all of the recent jump in crude oil
prices has been reflected in motor fuel costs which now top $3
a gallon in many parts of the country, about 80 cents more than
a year ago.
"We haven't seen the full
pass-through (of high oil prices)
yet," Caruso told reporters at a briefing on oil market
conditions held at Energy Department headquarters. "I would say
what's in the pipe right now (for gasoline) is about another 20
cents."
If the projected gasoline
price materializes it would be
the most consumers have ever paid to fill up at Thanksgiving
and could break the all-time high of $3.22 a gallon set last
May.
The national average
retail pump price has already jumped
by 25 cents since mid-October, reflecting soaring crude oil
costs, which for U.S. oil hit a record $98.62 a barrel last
week.
The price of crude
accounts for about half the cost of
making gasoline.
So far, healthy gasoline
imports from Europe and weaker
driving demand for this time of the year has helped soften some
of the price spike, Caruso said.
Caruso said high prices
are the result of strong global oil
demand and tight supplies. "There's very little cushion in the
market ... consumption outpacing production," he said. "We've
seen steadily declining (oil) inventories."
OPEC ministers are
scheduled to meet in early December to
review their oil policy. Karen Harbert, the assistant energy
secretary for policy and international affairs, said the Bush
administration has not received any messages from OPEC
officials on whether the group will increase output.
"We hope they will take
action when it's necessary to
ensure there is a much more calm and mutually beneficial (oil)
marketplace," she told reporters at the same briefing.
Caruso warned that if the group does
not boost oil
production levels, crude oil prices will stay "well above" $80
a barrel and push gasoline costs higher during next spring's
busy driving season..."
More:
Chile
earthquake sends copper up as oil near $94
Russia
may deploy missiles in Belarus: general
The
Bottom Line: And I wonder why that is.
- Suffolk bird flu
is H5N1 strain
SUFFOLK
(BBC) - "The type of bird flu found in turkeys on a Suffolk farm is the
virulent H5N1 strain, according to government vets.
The virus was discovered on Sunday at Redgrave Park Farm
near Diss, where all 6,500 birds, most of them turkeys, are being
slaughtered.
A 3km protection zone and a 10km surveillance zone have been set up and
the farm is co-operating with vets.
Environment Secretary Hilary Benn said that there might be further
undisclosed cases of the disease in the area.
Mr Benn told the House of Commons: "I'm not going to speculate as to
whether this outbreak is going to get larger.
"What we're doing is working our darndest to make sure that it stays
where it is.
"The most important thing, having locked it down, is to trace the
contacts and movements so we can take appropriate action."
A national and a local disease control centre have been
established in Bury St Edmunds, with text messages sent to all bird
keepers nationwide - especially those in zones on the poultry register.
Mr Benn said that movements within the restricted zones
can take place, but not out of it. General licences for low risk
movements out of the zone are expected to be available "shortly"..."
More:
Outbreak
of lethal bird flu confirmed in Britain
The
Bottom Line: Getting closer to North America.
Tuesday, November 13th, 2007
- Currency
Controls Return as Central Banks Fight Gains
New York (Bloomberg) -- "Central
banks from Bogota to Mumbai
are imposing foreign-exchange curbs to take control of their
soaring currencies from traders dumping the dollar.
In Colombia,
international investors buying stocks and bonds
must leave a 40 percent deposit at Banco de la Republica for six
months. The Reserve Bank of India created a bureaucratic thicket
to curb speculation by foreign money managers. The Bank of Korea
is investigating trading of currency forward contracts to limit
gains in the won, now at a 10-year high.
Instead of using currency
reserves or interest rates to
influence foreign exchange markets, central banks and finance
ministries are setting up obstacles to keep the falling dollar
from threatening company profits and economic growth. The U.S.
currency slumped 10 percent this year against its biggest trading
partners, the steepest decline since 2003, while Treasury
Secretary Henry Paulson has reiterated that the U.S. supports a
``strong'' dollar.
``Central banks are
struggling to find new ways to intervene
against their currencies and some of the proposals simply can't
work,'' said Mirza Baig, an analyst in Singapore at Deutsche Bank
AG, the world's biggest currency trader. Some plans are ``truly
bizarre,'' he wrote in a report.
The U.S. hasn't attempted
to stop the decline as the worst
housing slump in 16 years forced the Federal Reserve to lower
interest rates. The dollar has weakened 19 percent against the
Canadian currency this year to a record 90.58 cents, and fell 18
percent versus Brazil's real.
The euro strengthened 1.2
percent last week and reached an
all-time high of $1.4752 on Nov. 9. It traded at $1.4573 today as
of 1 p.m. in London. The yen rose 3.6 percent last week, and it
touched 109.15 per dollar today, the highest since May 2006.
`More Violent Correction'
An index tracking the
dollar against seven major trading
partners dropped to 71.11 on Nov. 2, the lowest ever, a week
after the Fed reduced its target rate for overnight loans between
banks by a quarter-percentage point to an 18-month low of 4.5
percent.
Stephen Jen, head of
currency research at Morgan Stanley in
London, said on Nov. 2 that the dollar's slide threatens to turn
into a ``more violent correction'' that may require joint
intervention by the U.S., European Union and Japan. The dollar
will trade at $1.51 per euro by year-end, Jen said on Nov. 8.
The extent of the
dollar's slump reminds some traders of
1973, when former President Richard Nixon's Treasury Secretary
John Connally abandoned the Gold standard while the U.S. was in
recession and inflation exceeded 10 percent. The dollar lost 40
percent against the yen in the next five years.
Since 2002, the U.S.
currency has fallen 40 percent against
the Canadian dollar, 33 percent versus the euro and weakened 24
percent compared with the British pound..."
More:
Gold
eyes all-time high on currency crisis
Talk
of Worst Recession Since the 1930's
Losing
streak continues for Wall St.
Wall
Street playing with more funny money
Home
prices to keep sliding with no bottom in sight
The
Bottom Line: Further along the downward spiral.
- Navy
Lacks Plan to Defend Against 'Sizzler' Missile
WASHINGTON
(Bloomberg) -- "The U.S.
Navy, after nearly six
years of warnings from Pentagon testers, still lacks a plan for
defending aircraft carriers against a supersonic Russian-built
missile, according to current and former officials and Defense
Department documents.
The missile, known in the
West as the ``Sizzler,'' has been
deployed by China and may be purchased by Iran. Deputy Secretary
of Defense Gordon England has given the Navy until April 29 to
explain how it will counter the missile, according to a Pentagon
budget document.
The Defense Department's
weapons-testing office judges the
threat so serious that its director, Charles McQueary, warned the
Pentagon's chief weapons-buyer in a memo that he would move to
stall production of multibillion-dollar ship and missile programs
until the issue was addressed.
``This is a
carrier-destroying weapon,'' said Orville
Hanson, who evaluated weapons systems for 38 years with the Navy.
``That's its purpose.''
``Take out the carriers''
and China ``can walk into
Taiwan,'' he said. China bought the missiles in 2002 along with
eight diesel submarines designed to fire it, according to Office
of Naval Intelligence spokesman Robert Althage.
A Pentagon official,
speaking on condition of anonymity,
said Russia also offered the missile to Iran, although there's no
evidence a sale has gone through. In Iranian hands, the Sizzler
could challenge the ability of the U.S. Navy to keep open the
Strait of Hormuz, through which an estimated 25 percent of the
world's oil traffic flows.
Fast and Low-Flying
``This is a very
low-flying, fast missile,'' said retired
Rear Admiral Eric McVadon, a former U.S. naval attache in
Beijing. ``It won't be visible until it's quite close. By the
time you detect it to the time it hits you is very short. You'd
want to know your capabilities to handle this sort of missile.''
The Navy's ship-borne
Aegis system, deployed on cruisers and
destroyers starting in the early 1980s, is designed to protect
aircraft-carrier battle groups from missile attacks. But current
and former officials say the Navy has no assurance Aegis, built
by Lockheed Martin Corp., is capable of detecting, tracking and
intercepting the Sizzler.
``This was an issue when
I walked in the door in 2001,''
Thomas Christie, the Defense Department's top weapons-testing
official from mid-2001 to early 2005, said in an interview..."
The
Bottom Line: Uh oh.
Monday, November 12th, 2007
- Wall
Street braces for more trouble
NEW YORK (AP) -- "The stock market
this week is hoping for signs that
the economy is surviving the problems in the financial sector -- and
that the Federal Reserve will come to the rescue if it's not.
Investors
are slowly getting a clearer picture of how much in risky and
deteriorating debt securities the world's major financial institutions
are holding, and they don't like what they see.
Wall Street
already expects banks' portfolios to lose at least $20 billion in the
fourth quarter, after announcements of anticipated writedowns of
mortgage-backed securities and other debt instruments by such financial
institutions as Citigroup, Morgan Stanley and Wachovia.
Investors
have been bracing for fourth-quarter writedowns for a while, but the
amount was larger than many were prepared to hear. As a result,
volatility has returned to virtually all corners of Wall Street.
Coming to Wall Street - a $10B
hit
After huge swings in
either
direction, the Dow Jones industrial average finished last week down
4.06 percent, and the Standard & Poor's ended down 3.71 percent.
The
Nasdaq composite index was hit the hardest last week, as investors'
optimism vanished about the technology sector being isolated from the
slowing economy and problems in the financial markets. The Nasdaq ended
the week down 6.49 percent.
Meanwhile, gold lifted
further above
$800 an ounce to its highest levels since 1980, and crude-oil briefly
breached $98 a barrel, as the dollar plunged.
The combination of
shaky financial markets and inflationary triggers has worried investors
that the Fed's hands are tied. An interest rate cut could send the
dollar down even further, but keeping rates where they are might
translate to even wider losses for the world's major financial
institutions..."
More:
Citi's
giant write-downs: What did it know, and when did it know it?
Greedy
Enough to Make You Sick
Is
the Market Finally Waking Up?
Bankruptcy
Law Backfires as Foreclosures Offset Gains
The
Bottom Line: Greed is blinding and very motivating; Fear
usually clears one's vision and is far more driving a force.
- US
right to bear arms may get its day in court
WASHINGTON (AFP) — "For the first
time in 70 years, the US Supreme
Court may decide next week whether to examine the question of the right
to bear arms, something which is fiercely upheld by millions of
Americans.
The US capital of
Washington, which is trying to stem
a wave of violence in its seedier neighborhoods, has lodged a case with
the nine Supreme Court judges seeking to maintain its three-decade ban
on individuals carrying handguns.
The judges were due to
have an
initial discussion on Friday, and their decision on whether or not to
examine the question could be announced as early as Tuesday.
The
case goes right to the heart of the American constitution, which in its
second amendment declares that: "A well regulated militia, being
necessary to the security of a free state, the right of the people to
keep and bear arms, shall not be infringed."
Washington, which is
also home to the president and the government, has interpreted the
amendment to mean that there is a collective right to bear arms for
those who are part of a police force or a security force.
But
since 1976, it has banned residents from carrying handguns, although
they are allowed to keep a rifle or hunting gun in their homes,
providing it is locked and not loaded.
For millions of Americans
though, and especially the powerful gun lobby represented by the
National Rifle Association, the second amendment guarantees the right
of every American citizen to own any gun, with few limits.
In
2003, Washington resident Dick Heller, who lives in one of the city's
tougher districts, lodged a suit against the local authorities saying
his constitutional right to bear arms was being violated. Although his
case was initially rejected, he won on appeal to a federal appeals
court in March.
Washington officials in
turn then lodged a case
with the Supreme Court in September insisting that it must rule on the
extent of access to handguns, the weapon of choice in two-thirds of
robberies and assaults.
Handguns are also used in
half of the
15,000 murders across the country every year, according to statistics
from the Federal Bureau of Investigations.
"Faced with the
evidence that handguns pose a particularly serious threat to public
safety, the council chose to ban handguns because it concluded that
less restrictive regulations would be ineffective," the city said in
its petition to the court.
"Whatever right the
second amendment guarantees, it does not require the district to stand
by while its citizens die."
If
the court decides to examine the case, it would likely be heard
sometime between February and April, with a ruling before the end of
June, just a few months before the November 2008 presidential elections.
To date the Supreme Court
has rarely considered the issue of the right to bear arms.
In
the 19th century, it determined that the founding fathers meant the
amendment to remain the remit of federal laws and left all the states
in the union free to draw up their own gun laws.
Then in 1939, the court
upheld a law requiring that arms transported from state to state should
be registered.
But all states have
formulated their own restrictions, which vary wildly.
Heller
believes that the laws in Washington, which are similar to those in
many big cities such as Chicago, New York or Detroit, are not just
unconstitutional but also ineffective.
Last year in the city
with 580,000 residents, there were 169 murders, 137 by firearms.
"This
case presents the court a unique opportunity to correct a persistent
misconception that the people do not actually enjoy a right that is
specifically enumerated in the constitution," Heller says in his
petition.
"'The people' --
individuals in our country -- retain the right to keep and bear arms."
His
case is being backed by the American Civil Rights Union which says in
his support: "This case presents questions of the highest importance,
involving the fundamental meaning of the second amendment.
"In over 200 years, this
court has still not resolved the basic questions regarding the
amendment's meaning.".."
More:
Supreme Court could take
guns case
The
Bottom Line: Anyone who studies history knows this is an
individual and basic human right. Out of the mouths and letters
of Thomas Jefferson, Thomas Paine, Samuel Adams, George Washington,
Albert Gallatin, James Madison, Richard Henry Lee, George Mason, Tench
Coxe, Patrick Henry, and many other founding fathers (including those
who drafted the Bill of Rights/2nd Amendment) all clearly
state the "People" as being comprised of Individual American Citizens.
Don't believe me? Check this page
out (It's VERY
tongue-in-cheek). Rational thought, statistical referencing and
logical reasoning put into a humorous package makes these 40 points of
subtle yet sarcastic argument easy to swallow.
Here is what a few of our Founding
Fathers had to say on thie issue:
"The whole of the Bill
(of Rights) is a declaration of the right of the
people at large or considered as individuals.... It establishes some
rights of the individual as unalienable and which consequently, no
majority has a right to deprive them of." (Albert Gallatin of the New
York Historical Society, October 7, 1789)
"No
Free man shall ever be debarred the use of arms." (Thomas
Jefferson, Proposal Virginia Constitution, 1 T. Jefferson Papers,
334,[C.J.Boyd, Ed., 1950])
"The
right of the people to
keep and bear...arms shall not be infringed. A well regulated militia,
composed of the body of the people, trained to arms, is the best and
most natural defense of a free country..." (James Madison, I Annals of
Congress 434 [June 8, 1789])
"A
militia, when properly
formed, are in fact the people themselves...and include all men capable
of bearing arms." (Richard Henry Lee, Additional Letters from the
Federal Farmer (1788) at 169)
"...to
disarm the people - that was the best and most effectual way
to enslave them." (George Mason, 3 Elliot, Debates at 380)
"Americans
have the right and advantage of being armed - unlike the citizens of
other countries whose governments are afraid to trust the people with
arms." (James Madison, The Federalist Papers #46 at 243-244)
"the
ultimate authority ... resides in the people alone," (James Madison,
author of the Bill of Rights, in Federalist Paper #46.)
If you don't
think it's an individual, Constitutional and basic human right after
reading all that, well then you're a moron.
- The
uninvited guest: Chinese sub pops up in middle of U.S. Navy exercise,
leaving military chiefs red-faced
United
Kingdom
(dailymail.co.uk) - " When the U.S. Navy deploys a battle fleet on
exercises, it takes the security of its aircraft carriers very
seriously indeed.
At least a dozen warships
provide a physical guard while the
technical wizardry of the world's only military superpower offers an
invisible shield to detect and deter any intruders.
That is the theory. Or,
rather, was the theory.
American military chiefs
have been left dumbstruck by an undetected
Chinese submarine popping up at the heart of a recent Pacific exercise
and close to the vast U.S.S. Kitty Hawk - a 1,000ft supercarrier with
4,500 personnel on board.
By the time it surfaced
the 160ft Song Class diesel-electric
attack submarine is understood to have sailed within viable range for
launching torpedoes or missiles at the carrier.
According to senior Nato
officials the incident caused consternation in the U.S. Navy.
The Americans had no idea
China's fast-growing submarine fleet
had reached such a level of sophistication, or that it posed such a
threat.
One Nato figure said the
effect was "as big a shock as the
Russians launching Sputnik" - a reference to the Soviet Union's first
orbiting satellite in 1957 which marked the start of the space age.
The incident, which took
place in the ocean between southern Japan and Taiwan, is a major
embarrassment for the Pentagon.
The lone Chinese vessel
slipped past at least a dozen other American
warships which were supposed to protect the carrier from hostile
aircraft or submarines.
And the rest of the
costly defensive screen, which usually
includes at least two U.S. submarines, was also apparently unable to
detect it.
According to the Nato
source, the encounter has forced a serious
re-think of American and Nato naval strategy as commanders reconsider
the level of threat from potentially hostile Chinese submarines.
It also led to tense
diplomatic exchanges, with shaken American
diplomats demanding to know why the submarine was "shadowing" the U.S.
fleet while Beijing pleaded ignorance and dismissed the affair as
coincidence.
Analysts believe Beijing
was sending a message to America and
the West demonstrating its rapidly-growing military capability to
threaten foreign powers which try to interfere in its "backyard".
The People's Liberation
Army Navy's submarine fleet includes at least two nuclear-missile
launching vessels.
Its 13 Song Class
submarines are extremely quiet and difficult to detect when running on
electric motors.
Commodore Stephen
Saunders, editor of Jane's Fighting Ships, and
a former Royal Navy anti-submarine specialist, said the U.S. had paid
relatively little attention to this form of warfare since the end of
the Cold War.
He said: "It was
certainly a wake-up call for the Americans.".."
The
Bottom Line: The Dragon has grown large indeed these past
few decades.
Sunday, November 11th, 2007
- Credit
Card Debt a $915 Billion Disaster-in-Waiting for Banks
New York
(newsmax.com) - "Think the
estimated subprime debt load carried by the big international banks is
big, at $1 trillion?
How about this: Americans
now owe nearly as much – a record $915 billion – on their credit cards
alone.
And defaults and
delinquencies in the credit card sector are
piling up – which means big banks are on the hook, again. More sand in
the gears for the global economy.
Credit card companies
wrote off 4.58 percent in payments between
January and May, almost a third more than in the same period in 2006,
according to Moody's Investors Service. As a result, lenders such as
Citigroup, Bank of America, and American Express, among others already
reeling from the subprime mortgage disaster, are being further
weakened.
Not to mention the
staggering U.S. economy, which is so
dependent on a vigorous consumer credit sector to keep it healthy.
Seventy-two percent of the U.S. economy rides on consumption alone.
Third quarter numbers for
banks were the worst since 2001. First
Citigroup took a 57 percent hit in earnings. The decline was
attributed, in large part, to consumer-credit problems. Anticipating
additional defaults, they stashed away $2.24 billion in loan-loss
reserves.
Other major banks also
took a beating and are also preparing for the expected credit card
delinquencies and defaults.
American Express added 44
percent to its U.S. card division loss
reserves. Bank of America, Capital One and Washington Mutual are all
expecting at least another 20 percent in credit card losses over the
next two to four quarters.
An increase in credit
card balances and first-time cash advances
were cited by Citi Chief Financial Officer Gary Crittenden as
indicators of possible trouble to come. The change in loan losses was
"inherent in the [Citigroup] portfolio but not yet visible in
delinquencies," Crittenden told Fortune magazine.
An increase in
bankruptcies is a major contributor to credit
card defaults, according to Jay Eisbruck, managing director of Moody's
Asset-Backed Finance Group.
Falling home prices and
rising gasoline costs also add to
bankruptcy woes. U.S. home prices fell 3.2 percent in the second
quarter, the sharpest decline since 1987, according to Standard &
Poor's.
As home prices fall,
homeowners have a harder time getting cash
by refinancing high-rate mortgages. The high cost of gas, often
purchased with credit cards, doesn't help either..."
More:
So
Much For Being Hedged
Banks'
Balance Sheets Will Hit Fan In January
The
Bottom Line: It's gone from bad to worse.
- Yellowstone
Is Rising on Swollen "Supervolcano"
Yellowstone
National Park
(National Geographic) - "Yellowstone National Park is rising. Its
central region, called the
Yellowstone caldera, has been moving upward since mid-2004 at a rate of
up to three inches (seven centimeters) a year—more than three times
faster than has ever been measured.
The surface is inflating like a bellows
due to an infusion of
magma about 6 miles (10 kilometers) underground, according to a new
study published in tomorrow's issue of the journal Science.
But that doesn't mean Yellowstone is
about to go the way of Mount St. Helens.
"There's no evidence of
an imminent eruption or hydrothermal
explosion," said Robert Smith, a geophysics professor at the University
of Utah who co-authored the study.
"Supervolcano" Under Yellowstone
Yellowstone is situated
on a giant, geologically active feature known as a supervolcano.
"It's hundreds of times
bigger than Mount St. Helens," Smith said, referring to the active
volcano in Washington State.
Much of the park sits in
a caldera, or crater, some 40 miles (70
kilometers) across, which formed when the cone of the massive volcano
collapsed in a titanic eruption 640,000 years ago.
The supervolcano has
produced three similarly large blasts in the past
two million years, with 30 smaller eruptions since the caldera formed.
The volcano's most recent
flare-up was 70,000 years ago, and volcanic
heat continues to fuel the park's famous geysers and hot springs..."
More:
Indonesian
Volcano Roaring to Life
The
Bottom Line: Will we be choking up volcanic ash in the
near future?
- Worst
Drought in a Century Hurting Australian Farmers
Wakool,
Australia
(National Geographic) - "November on Rod Chalmers' farm in Wakool,
Australia, shouldn't look like this.
It's springtime, and the wheat fields should be green and waist-high
instead of mostly dead.
There are no sheep are in sight either.
The animals were sold long ago, because there is no grass for them to
graze on.
Chalmers is among many
farmers whose crops are withering in an unusual
spring heat, following one of the warmest and driest winters on record.
In the seventh year of a
crippling drought, much of Australia
is in an unprecedented water crisis. The Big Dry, as Australians have
dubbed the weather, is the worst in a century and has forced water
restrictions on an entire nation. (Related: "New Australia Mining Boom
Taking Toll on Outback Life" [September 26, 2007].)
But for the farmers, the
consequences have been especially dire. (See photos of drought-affected
farms.)
With 65 percent of the
Australia's viable land declared in drought by
the government, thousands have walked away from their farms in recent
years. Those that stayed saw earnings dive an average of 70 percent
last year because of drought-related losses.
In Wakool, located 495
miles (797 kilometers) southwest of the
capital, Sydney, the number of dairy farms has dwindled from 16 to 5.
Chalmers took a hit of
$200,000 Australian (about $187,000
U.S.) last year. As he heads into summer, 75 percent of the grain crop
has already failed, and he is expecting to lose money again this year.
"Its hard to figure out
whether we are going to be okay or not,"
Chalmers said. "We're trying to figure out now at what point the debt
becomes unmanageable."
Dried-Up Rivers
Rain—and a lot of it—is the only thing
that is going to turn things
around for troubled farmers..."
The
Bottom Line: Droughts in Southeastern and central North
America and large parts of Australia; two of the world's bread-baskets,
does not bode well for the global food supply.
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